Quote (bogie160 @ 2 May 2023 19:39)
Russia is not going to invade the Baltics or Poland. All 4 have professional NATO militaries and populations that would rather die than accept Russian rule. I'm not even sure American action, while it would certainly be immediate and overwhelming, would even be required.
I posted here info today that NATO currently has ammunition only for 4 weeks of war.
What can a professional soldier do when it runs out of ammo?
NATO made shiny "inteligent" expensive warfare in very limited amounts, but Russians got numbers on their sides.
The populations will either die or... run away. People want to live, if they cannot run they will accept being a slave imo.
If I oneday change side here on this forums, it means Russians caught me and forced to work for them.
Also can we really rely on NATO for help? That's not very sure.
When there is a peace everybody has a strong mouth, but when war starts its a different perspective.
Young french or german people will protest with transparents "we dont want to Die for Poland", "this is not our war" etc.
I still think Russia would lose the war if it decides to attack, but its better to be sure and to avoid any temptation to Putin or his successor.
And the best way to stop Russia is now in Ukraine, all the Ukraine asks for is some economical support and military equipment supplies. Very low price when compared with NATO-Russia war.