Quote (ferdia @ 29 Mar 2023 13:19)
If the Ukraine conflict brought Europe together then an argument that the policies of successive western governments, led by the US, is accelerating ties between Russia & China, and Russia and Iran (I have no clue on the relationship of China and Iran). India is also not buying into alot of the western rhetoric apparently. The problem here is that this so-called "axis of evil" is not something that can be defeated militarily and in this regard this encapsulates the expression "we are living in dangerous times".
That depends on the defnition of "military defeat". Sure, scenarios in which US tanks parade on Red Square and Tian'anmen Square are unrealistic, but the new axis can definitely be beaten on battlefields outside of their homeland, just like their geostrategic goals can definitely be thwarted.
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All of this points to a cold/hot war and rising prices for everything in the short-medium term (0-15 years), everywhere, noting the break down of globalisation (the open doors policy on trade which existed here to fore) is a real thing.
In england you see what happens when you are no longer a member of a large trading block- rising cost of living, more people struggling - that scenario is effectively going to play out now, globally, everywhere. The Chinese Belt and Road initiative would mitigate alot of this, somewhat, for China and those that remain closely linked to it with trade.
The BRI is increasingly shaping up to be a failure and a financial black hole for China.
https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Belt-and-Road/China-slows-foreign-lending-as-Belt-and-Road-problem-loans-triple