Quote (balrog66 @ 18 Oct 2018 13:34)
I'm not disputing that younger people voted less Dem in 2012-2016. If you read my post, what I argue with is putting it on the 'Generation Z'. I'm wary of anyone who makes claims based on generational differences. The study they cited was based in the UK too...
well, it could also be that some young voters who normally are inclined to stay home were brought to the polls by Obama, who was an outstanding speaker and campaigner, and that clinton couldnt replicate this because she was just about the most uninspiring person to ever run for president. (might be a close race with Bob Dole though.

)
so Obama maybe brought young, democratic-leaning but rather apolitical people to the polls, and thus expanded the democratic margin among young voters beyond levels normally seen. if that's the case, the 5% drop from 2012 to 2016 might have been a reversion to the mean.
on the other hand, the swing of 16-20% in the youth vote in key swing states cannot be explained by just this "obama-effect".