Quote (Hamsterbaby @ 6 Mar 2023 20:57)
This cannot be solved or stop without the United States saying it should stop.
Also just to add, the US cannot allow and will not allow it to stop now.
Russia cannot allow it to stop because as we know they face " security " reasons. Not all Russians but specifically the nationalists, political elite and Putin's insecurity in regards to NATO.
And if Russia stops now, they will lose and suffer a 100 times more than just their " sanctions " now.
Ukraine cannot stop the war because it is not exactly their call.
Chinese can't do anything even though they both partners and " friends " of both countries. And the United States will in some ways prevent the Chinese of being successful if they ever try to negotiate a peace talk between both countries.
The war will escalate until the next USA Election which is in a year or a year and a half and we will see.
My personal opinion.
I will explain that for ya.
There is an attacker (Russia) and there is a defender (Ukraine). There are also some countries providing some assistance to Ukraine (for simplicity lets call them NATO but its not just NATO).
So an attacker took 15% of Ukraine territory, and has apetite for more, so there could be possibly a case fire but not really longtime peace.
Russia could be maybe interested in a temporary cease fire to regroup and train new soldiers, since their initial invasion plan failed.
On the other hand Ukraine isn't happy with Russia occupying part of their territory, is angry and feels that cease fire would benefit Russians more than Ukrainians.
Of course if NATO stops its assistance, Ukraine falls.
Hovewer NATO knows that if Ukraine falls, Putin will attack some eastern NATO countries next.
Would the peaceful western NATO countries help the eastern NATO countries? thats not so obvious. The NATO could possibly collapse as a project.
So NATO isnt backing off from helping Ukraine, they prefer to send money and ammo to Ukraine rather than fight a defensive war in their own territory.
We dont know who will be next USA president. If it will be once again Russia friend, he could even disband NATO.
That will mean end of USA as a World Super Power, so it would be bad for USA also, but democracy is unpredictible.