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Mar 4 2023 06:52pm
Quote (kusotarre1 @ 5 Mar 2023 00:32)


https://i.imgur.com/cFQQxEL.png

Just absolute nonsense, directly contradicted by the simplest google search. But he read it online from some "Russia Expert", and even looking at 2018 and 2019 incomes, he'll just come back with some reason why he's actually correct and Russia is a 'gas station with nukes' or whatever.

The West's primary products are hope followed by cope. These wargames are the hope. Later comes the cope.

1. All Russian energy companies are de facto controlled by the Kremlin. Their contributions to the federal budget are determined by politics and can thus deviate from their profitability.

2. You can see from your own chart that Russian energy revenues were pretty steadily increasing year-on-year from 2009 until 2014. It makes perfect sense that the calculations for Russian war efforts in Ukraine in 2014 and beyond were based on a projection of this trend, which went out of the window in the following years. By the time the 2018/19 spike came around, any plans for a large-scale invasion of Ukraine which might have existed in 2014 had already been put on ice. And then, from early 2020, covid put the whole world on a hold.

3. Before the covid recovery boom starting in 2021, Gazprom's operating profit (rather than their contributions to Russia's federal budget) had been on a longer-term downward (or at least stagnation) trend.


4. You're completely dismissing the second part of my argument, namely that Putin's considerations were not just about the funding of his war from energy revenue, but also about the economic leverage that closing the gas tap would give him over Europe. And in this second regard, the rise of the North American fracking industry (and the sudden excess supply on the global markets that it created) definitely threw his plans off.
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Mar 4 2023 07:20pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Mar 5 2023 01:52am)
1. All Russian companies are de facto controlled by the Kremlin. And if not their owners might fall out of a window.


fixed ^_^

a fun fact to note here is that russia literally sponsored campaigns against fracking in germany to prevent us from using our own resources

if germany used its own resources, depending on russian natural gas wouldnt have been a thing for quite a while
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Mar 4 2023 07:28pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Mar 4 2023 04:52pm)
x

Like I said, even given very clear proof that you are wrong, out will come endless rationalizations because what's important to the West, from the lowest forum poster to the highest people in government and media, is to manage the narrative.

Being correct, being able to actually understand the world *as it exists* is a minor secondary concern.

Which is a good thing! It makes correction on the part of the West impossible, and all but ensures that it's empire collapses. As I said earlier, the stakes here are the 10 trillion dollars every year that the imperialist powers loot from the global South. As it ends, Westerners will be left not only without the tools to arrest the change, but even the tools to understand what's happening. Good riddance!
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Mar 4 2023 07:38pm
Quote (JohnnyMcCoy @ 5 Mar 2023 02:20)
fixed ^_^

a fun fact to note here is that russia literally sponsored campaigns against fracking in germany to prevent us from using our own resources

if germany used its own resources, depending on russian natural gas wouldnt have been a thing for quite a while


"BuT wHaT aBoUt ThE eArThQuAkEs?"
*sigh*

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Mar 4 2023 07:38pm
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Mar 4 2023 08:54pm
Quote (kusotarre1 @ Mar 4 2023 06:32pm)
Because my position is that it has silly assumptions and restrictions placed on the Chinese side, which I stated at the start. My position is that these war games are systematically, every time, created to make Americans feel good about their prospects.

This sort of thinking is universal in the west. It's why we thought the sanctions would cripple Russia, it's why we thought tariffs would bring manufacturing back, it's why we thought democracies handle pandemics better. It's just self-deception all the way down, no one can ever be honest about anything in the West, because it's too painful to our precious egos.

Case in point:

https://i.imgur.com/cFQQxEL.png

Just absolute nonsense, directly contradicted by the simplest google search. But he read it online from some "Russia Expert", and even looking at 2018 and 2019 incomes, he'll just come back with some reason why he's actually correct and Russia is a 'gas station with nukes' or whatever.

The West's primary products are hope followed by cope. These wargames are the hope. Later comes the cope.


https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/RUB=X/

Exchange rates are a funny thing! You need to be careful about what you're looking at, or you're very likely to draw the wrong conclusions.
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Mar 4 2023 09:17pm
Quote (JohnnyMcCoy @ Mar 4 2023 05:20pm)
fixed ^_^

a fun fact to note here is that russia literally sponsored campaigns against fracking in germany to prevent us from using our own resources

if germany used its own resources, depending on russian natural gas wouldnt have been a thing for quite a while

A fun fact to note here is that America bombed Germany's infrastructure and now they pay so much for LNG from an ocean away that their industries are leaving to China and America.
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Mar 5 2023 02:30am
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Mar 4 2023 09:24pm)
Dude, I was replying to your pic which was showing how Poland, Romania etc. had joined NATO. No fuckery whatsoever was necessary to make those countries join.
Ukraine is a different case in that it is even closer to Russia than those Central European countries, not just geographically but also economically and culturally.

In Ukraine - unlike Poland, Czechia, Romania etc.! - there was indeed a sizable portion of the public that favored alignment with Russia over aligning with the West.


So you're suggesting the West didn't push for NATO expansion? Historic facts: They did because NATO expanded despite the promise "NATO will not move an inch East"

So this is definitely fuckery / lies there's no other way to describe it. To say "those countries wanted it" is simply an excuse to warrant NATO policy, lol.

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Mar 5 2023 02:50am
Quote (Djunior @ Mar 5 2023 03:30am)
So you're suggesting the West didn't push for NATO expansion? Historic facts: They did because NATO expanded despite the promise "NATO will not move an inch East"

So this is definitely fuckery / lies there's no other way to describe it. To say "those countries wanted it" is simply an excuse to warrant NATO policy, lol.


It's obviously the case that US policy since the Soviet Union fell has been to expand NATO, the countries that have joined NATO wanted to do so, and both those positions are justified.

There was never any agreement between the US and Russia to not expand NATO east.

https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2022/feb/28/candace-owens/fact-checking-claims-nato-us-broke-agreement-again/

This piece goes into some of the contradictory statements around the issue. But the point is completely moot anyway, because one administration's unwritten promises can mean nothing to the next administration, and Russia would've known that at the time. It's just a dopey talking point for apologists for Russia.
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Mar 5 2023 02:55am
Quote (kusotarre1 @ 5 Mar 2023 04:17)
A fun fact to note here is that America bombed Germany's infrastructure and now they pay so much for LNG from an ocean away that their industries are leaving to China and America.


1. The infrastructure that America allegedly bombed according to your narrative (the Nord Stream pipelines) were no longer delivering natural gas to Germany anyway because Russia had already shut them down.
2. Prices for natural gas here in Germany are currently lower than they were at any point in 2022 and roughly on the same level as in the fall of 2021.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Mar 5 2023 02:56am
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Mar 5 2023 04:17am
stay in your wokist western world.traitor. My ancestors didnt fight for the world of now. shame!! russian world is nearest of our old lifestyle than this faking wokist world they want to give us.

and stop Your fake empathy, if you want to help ukranian do it, and go in ukraine.

This post was edited by Pisior on Mar 5 2023 04:19am
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