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Feb 28 2023 12:54pm
Quote (ferdia @ 28 Feb 2023 19:40)
All major powers have a vested interest in the leaders of their rivals, and countries of interest, and to my mind, MOST major powers actively seek to sway elections in other countries. im sorry but this is the state of the world we live in.


do you have trouble with reading comprehension, mate? he's pointing out the hypocrisy of goon-shill, not making a statement about the morality of foreign election meddling.
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Feb 28 2023 12:54pm
Quote (thesnipa @ Feb 28 2023 11:42am)
russian troll farms creating fake US accounts to organize protests and counter protests during the 2016 election to rile up the deeply divided populace. "no big deal, just a bit of tickling here and there, changed nothing" goomshill

CIA poking at an already angry minority voting block in the capital who just lost an election by a few percent "yup, the US did this, so the context doesnt matter much and we can NEVER know if they'd have coup'd without us" also you.


The US was nowhere close to a violent revolution to overthrow the government and end democracy, no matter how much CNN wants to pretend it was 4 years later
The CIA didn't just support a coup in Ukraine, they micromanaged the regime afterwards. That's like having FSB agents fly in and handpick the US senate and cabinet.

If we're going with the moralizing lens, then the clear difference is in the threat of violence and disenfranchisement. There's no threat to our democracy by Russia exposing secret corruption in the DNC. Nobody is getting killed for it (not even seth rich), nobody is having their representation suppressed. The most damning thing you can say about Russian influence is that they potentially tried to sway people's minds so that they'd pursue democratic change. Well fucking shit, that's how a democracy is supposed to work. Its lobbying the public for their support, the long way around. There's such a huge chasm between that and stoking a violent coup d'etat to overthrow a democracy. You know, killing some people to suppress the votes of other people.
America wasn't in Ukraine handing out leaflets saying "canvas for support for a pro-EU referendum" or "vote against Yanukovych in 2016". They organized a militia, they set up a vichy regime.

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yet no one asks the question beyond this war. why cant putin simply let Ukraine fall to the west? because of some fantasy where we encircle a nation with thousands of nuclear warheads and say "put down the big red button and come out with your hands up"? decade after decade Putin refused to modernize his nation and relegated himself to a fuel supplier who also makes 2nd tier weapons for 3rd world despots. the responsibility to change is not on the victor, but rather the defeated whilst on their knees.

instead he sped up his own country's demise, they're being removed from fuel supplier more and more every day and they have nothing left to offer. they'll be left with selling coal to africa, begging china to buy oil/coal/gas at reduced prices, and hawking shit weapons to anyone willing to pay 3/4 of what they're worth. over Ukraine and the silly premise that it's movement westward spelled their doom. like we're going to have a cuban missile crisis over a corrupt wheat basket that likely would have been denied NATO membership for decades.


Or perhaps they're fracturing the US hegemony over geopolitics that has boxed them in since the end of WW2 and ending the post-soviet-fall alignment of the world against them. Or perhaps they're establishing energy markets outside of US control, gaining a stranglehold on the world's critical food and energy resources. Can we appreciate for a minute how absolutely backwards it is to go from futurists doomsaying about how a scrabble for resources will spark conflict in the next 100 years and lead to WW3- and then turn around today and try to say that Russia is being isolated "as a fuel supplier"? Begging people to buy their resources?
The only production America is excelling at right now is money supply. Can't burn it, can't eat it. If Russia wound up in a world encircled by the new iron curtain we've put up in the last year, and had nobody to sell their immense amount of food and gas and oil to, you know what they'd do? Thrive. They'd have cheap domestic food and energy. Meanwhile we're talking about blackouts and famine in Africa in the next few years. But of course, Russia isn't really being isolated, because the rest of the world doesn't share our self destructive vision, so India and China and all the rest of Africa and Asia and the middle east are going to start trading for oil in RMB while we churn out more greenbacks.

This post was edited by Goomshill on Feb 28 2023 12:55pm
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Feb 28 2023 12:55pm
Quote (DizzyBusiness @ Feb 28 2023 12:52pm)
Dumb people are famous for being hard to entertain so that puts my whole theory into question.


typically things are called into question, not put there. it's pretty fascist to not even try to call it into question and just go ahead and put it where you like.
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Feb 28 2023 12:57pm
Quote (thesnipa @ Feb 28 2023 02:55pm)
typically things are called into question, not put there. it's pretty fascist to not even try to call it into question and just go ahead and put it where you like.


Question answered.
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Feb 28 2023 01:05pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ Feb 28 2023 06:45pm)
this in an impossible question to answer, up there with please provide what percent of global warming is due to human activity within a 95% confidence interval.

I mean like half of us in this thread that are labeled pro-Russian all we do is say hey look at all of these preceding events in the last 20-40 years, might they have some explanation of why things are the way they are?

It's not as if we're pro-Russian because we want our country to look like Russia or think it's leaders are great, because they're obviously not or because hate America, it's about being annoyed by propaganda plastered all over our media with "Russia starts unprovoked war" or the fact we live in a world where rules based order is just synonymous with rules for thee and not for me mentality.


+1 from me
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Feb 28 2023 01:15pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Feb 28 2023 12:54pm)
The US was nowhere close to a violent revolution to overthrow the government and end democracy, no matter how much CNN wants to pretend it was 4 years later
The CIA didn't just support a coup in Ukraine, they micromanaged the regime afterwards. That's like having FSB agents fly in and handpick the US senate and cabinet.

If we're going with the moralizing lens, then the clear difference is in the threat of violence and disenfranchisement. There's no threat to our democracy by Russia exposing secret corruption in the DNC. Nobody is getting killed for it (not even seth rich), nobody is having their representation suppressed. The most damning thing you can say about Russian influence is that they potentially tried to sway people's minds so that they'd pursue democratic change. Well fucking shit, that's how a democracy is supposed to work. Its lobbying the public for their support, the long way around. There's such a huge chasm between that and stoking a violent coup d'etat to overthrow a democracy. You know, killing some people to suppress the votes of other people.
America wasn't in Ukraine handing out leaflets saying "canvas for support for a pro-EU referendum" or "vote against Yanukovych in 2016". They organized a militia, they set up a vichy regime.



Or perhaps they're fracturing the US hegemony over geopolitics that has boxed them in since the end of WW2 and ending the post-soviet-fall alignment of the world against them. Or perhaps they're establishing energy markets outside of US control, gaining a stranglehold on the world's critical food and energy resources. Can we appreciate for a minute how absolutely backwards it is to go from futurists doomsaying about how a scrabble for resources will spark conflict in the next 100 years and lead to WW3- and then turn around today and try to say that Russia is being isolated "as a fuel supplier"? Begging people to buy their resources?
The only production America is excelling at right now is money supply. Can't burn it, can't eat it. If Russia wound up in a world encircled by the new iron curtain we've put up in the last year, and had nobody to sell their immense amount of food and gas and oil to, you know what they'd do? Thrive. They'd have cheap domestic food and energy. Meanwhile we're talking about blackouts and famine in Africa in the next few years. But of course, Russia isn't really being isolated, because the rest of the world doesn't share our self destructive vision, so India and China and all the rest of Africa and Asia and the middle east are going to start trading for oil in RMB while we churn out more greenbacks.


russian action didnt change the outcome, US involvement didnt either. if you're of the opinion that CIA backing was required for the 2014 coup to happen i simply disagree, so that's a full stop.

it's a fact we were involved, it's my opinion that involvement was dumb, and partially because its my opinion wasnt needed.

Quote (DizzyBusiness @ Feb 28 2023 12:57pm)
Question answered.


triggering you with that buzzword was a pleasure.
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Feb 28 2023 01:42pm
Quote (thesnipa @ Feb 28 2023 01:15pm)
russian action didnt change the outcome, US involvement didnt either. if you're of the opinion that CIA backing was required for the 2014 coup to happen i simply disagree, so that's a full stop.
it's a fact we were involved, it's my opinion that involvement was dumb, and partially because its my opinion wasnt needed.


What changed in 2014 that reached the tipping point of revolution? We know the US was involved, we know the CIA and state department were invested in it. Would it have gotten that groundswell elsewise? I don't think either of us can say. What if the absence of US support meant Russia would be provoked into intervening directly, not at some indeterminate future date, but right then in 2014. A lot of what-ifs we can make, all to make a point that is definitely irrelevant to the pragmatic and strategic lens. But does it even matter for a point about democracy and legitimacy?

Its clear Ukraine had a reasonably free and fair democracy prior to 2014, at least, insofar as both east and west had no contemporary disagreement after the previous round of elections. Even if the pro-EU revolution had occurred in some alternate reality without any US meddling, it would still be a violent coup d'etat attempting to overthrow a legitimate democracy and replace it with an authoritarian minority-led regime that tries to suppress the will of the majority. Would Russia's motivations and moral authority to annex the separatist regions be any different? There's been plenty of conflicts in african shitholes we don't care enough about to intervene, and they often end with the separatist regions becoming autonomous. I don't think we can construct any scenario where the post revolution regime holds any sovereign claim to the regions they disenfranchised and then laid siege for 8 years.

And on a similar note, what does it say that the US was caught red-handed directly orchestrating the post-revolution government, handpicking the officials? Even in our hypothetical with the coup carried out entirely without US involvement, if the US were then opportunists who then moved in and seized control of the government and set up a puppet regime, Russia would still have all the same motivations and grievances. How much do the finer twists and turns matter in the road we took from civilians protesting at Euromaidan to Russia fighting a war against a NATO-controlled government armed with NATO weapons, trained by NATO troops, fighting alongside NATO mercenaries?




...and again, I cannot possibly stress this enough, all this moral lens analysis I cannot make without pointing out the fact we're still talking about literal nazi war criminals and death squads that rushed to push child soldiers to the front lines (and still are, right now, there's some pretty disturbing videos trending). I've said a few times, I'm all for being a heartless cynical pragmatist far removed from bleeding heart liberalism, I can have my morning oatmeal unbothered if some fuckaluckistanis had to die for my country's imperialist ambitions that morning- but even I draw a line on literal nazis. Fuck'em
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Feb 28 2023 01:51pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Feb 28 2023 01:42pm)
What changed in 2014 that reached the tipping point of revolution? We know the US was involved, we know the CIA and state department were invested in it. Would it have gotten that groundswell elsewise? I don't think either of us can say. What if the absence of US support meant Russia would be provoked into intervening directly, not at some indeterminate future date, but right then in 2014. A lot of what-ifs we can make, all to make a point that is definitely irrelevant to the pragmatic and strategic lens. But does it even matter for a point about democracy and legitimacy?

Its clear Ukraine had a reasonably free and fair democracy prior to 2014, at least, insofar as both east and west had no contemporary disagreement after the previous round of elections. Even if the pro-EU revolution had occurred in some alternate reality without any US meddling, it would still be a violent coup d'etat attempting to overthrow a legitimate democracy and replace it with an authoritarian minority-led regime that tries to suppress the will of the majority. Would Russia's motivations and moral authority to annex the separatist regions be any different? There's been plenty of conflicts in african shitholes we don't care enough about to intervene, and they often end with the separatist regions becoming autonomous. I don't think we can construct any scenario where the post revolution regime holds any sovereign claim to the regions they disenfranchised and then laid siege for 8 years.

And on a similar note, what does it say that the US was caught red-handed directly orchestrating the post-revolution government, handpicking the officials? Even in our hypothetical with the coup carried out entirely without US involvement, if the US were then opportunists who then moved in and seized control of the government and set up a puppet regime, Russia would still have all the same motivations and grievances. How much do the finer twists and turns matter in the road we took from civilians protesting at Euromaidan to Russia fighting a war against a NATO-controlled government armed with NATO weapons, trained by NATO troops, fighting alongside NATO mercenaries?




...and again, I cannot possibly stress this enough, all this moral lens analysis I cannot make without pointing out the fact we're still talking about literal nazi war criminals and death squads that rushed to push child soldiers to the front lines (and still are, right now, there's some pretty disturbing videos trending). I've said a few times, I'm all for being a heartless cynical pragmatist far removed from bleeding heart liberalism, I can have my morning oatmeal unbothered if some fuckaluckistanis had to die for my country's imperialist ambitions that morning- but even I draw a line on literal nazis. Fuck'em


Quote
In November 2013, a wave of large-scale protests (known as Euromaidan) began in response to President Yanukovych's sudden decision not to sign a political association and free trade agreement with the European Union (EU), instead choosing closer ties to Russia.


this was the spark that lit the powder keg. the will we go east or west debate had been present in Ukranian politics for a long time, this was the sign that it was now or never for pro western people.

but maybe you think the real culprit is the CIA who sent a (DO NOT REPLY) text message to all of them to burn shit in the streets.
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Feb 28 2023 02:04pm
Quote (thesnipa @ Feb 28 2023 01:51pm)
this was the spark that lit the powder keg. the will we go east or west debate had been present in Ukranian politics for a long time, this was the sign that it was now or never for pro western people.

but maybe you think the real culprit is the CIA who sent a (DO NOT REPLY) text message to all of them to burn shit in the streets.


Maybe 1 out of every 3 Euromaidan protesters was a Ray Epps
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Feb 28 2023 02:15pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Feb 28 2023 02:04pm)
Maybe 1 out of every 3 Euromaidan protesters was a Ray Epps


33% is a LOT when 66% are willing to stand back and roast marshmellows, or w/e the fuck they roast over there.

edit: but to follow your logic what did the CIA do to turn the tide, if the tide wasn't turned before we acted?

This post was edited by thesnipa on Feb 28 2023 02:15pm
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