Quote (thundercock @ Mar 20 2022 02:30pm)
You're not understanding their analysis. They are saying that Russia needs to ESCALATE in order to accomplish their objectives. Right now, Russia is INCAPABLE of accomplishing their objectives and we're at a stalemate. I've said this several times before: half a million troops should do the trick. In order to accomplish their objectives, they need to have CLEAN supply lines established in Belarus, Kursk, Rostov, and Crimea. How long did it take for Russia to amass the current amount of troops to those places? It took over a year. You can't just teleport all these supplies.
This is a Washington think tank that is full of people who understand and have fought wars. What's your alternative? Should we listen to people who haven't fought in wars?
As far as I know, i didn't see a timeline from Russia in how much time it's appropriate to accomplish their objectives. We don't even fully know what their objectives are nor do we know what a frozen stalemate means for them nor Ukraine.
There's too many assumptions being ascribed here.