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Mar 20 2022 09:45am
Quote (ofthevoid @ 20 Mar 2022 14:14)
If Russia was really targeting civilians on purpose and not accidentally then you would of seen hundreds of thousands of deaths of refugees fleeing. They could target and bomb border crossings and get thousands of civilian deaths instantly. People keep saying Russia is failing to take any major cities, without explaining why they’re failing. They’re failing because they weren’t willing to indiscriminately turn those cities into parking lots. Mariupol is different though. It’s the home of the nazi battalion Azov and it’s the scene where these far right groups committed atrocities between 2014 and now so they have no problem unleashing.

What’s happening now is something I talked about weeks ago. When one side is clearly the military superior typically wars end very fast without so much blood shed. We in the west encouraged Ukraine to dig in and fight back so that quick outcome is now off the table. As a result though we’re in for a long and deadly war with Ukrainian lives on the line.

You see patriotism and are cheering because Russia isn’t immediately achieving its goals, I see tens of thousands of deaths (mostly Ukrainians) and I’m saddened because there’s no scenario where the Russians geopolitical goals weren’t going to be achieved and all those people died for no reason.

Once Ukraine has clearly lost this war, they should surrender. We're far from this point though.

Specifically targetting civilians comes with a ton of political risks. Risks undermining the morale of your own troops. Risks losing support for the war among your own people because once a certain scale of atrocities has been exceeded, even the most elaborate propaganda and censorship apparatus can't hide it anymore. Particularly since Putin framed this war as a mission to rescue Ukraine from its evil regime. The risk of the West intervening with its own troops also increases in the face of heart-breaking pictures of Russian atrocities. And like I've mentioned weeks ago in this thread: ruling over the rubble is a lot less worthwhile for Russia than ruling over a somewhat-intact Ukraine.


Regarding the geostrategic goals: Ukraine was unable to join NATO before this war anyway, every other geostrategic goal becomes less likely once he orders his troops to bomb Ukraine into the ground.



Quote (Goomshill @ 20 Mar 2022 14:52)
Sure in a logical war, once your military is destroyed and your cities besieged and surrounded by an enemy who has the ability to flatten them overnight, you'd want to surrender and minimize casualties. Heck, surrender should come long before that point, when the inevitability is clear. But we helped install and micromanage the Ukrainian government, we supplied and armed them. Its not the self-interests of the besieged Ukrainians guiding the decisions, its an unscathed west.

Do you think Ukraine should surrender already?

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Mar 20 2022 09:46am
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Mar 20 2022 09:59am
kill as many russian that invades their country!!!!! they have the right to defend their home, their land, if they goona loose,kill as many they can, revenge for shelling civilians!!
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Mar 20 2022 10:03am
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Mar 20 2022 10:45am)
Once Ukraine has clearly lost this war, they should surrender. We're far from this point though.

Specifically targetting civilians comes with a ton of political risks. Risks undermining the morale of your own troops. Risks losing support for the war among your own people because once a certain scale of atrocities has been exceeded, even the most elaborate propaganda and censorship apparatus can't hide it anymore. Particularly since Putin framed this war as a mission to rescue Ukraine from its evil regime. The risk of the West intervening with its own troops also increases in the face of heart-breaking pictures of Russian atrocities. And like I've mentioned weeks ago in this thread: ruling over the rubble is a lot less worthwhile for Russia than ruling over a somewhat-intact Ukraine.


Regarding the geostrategic goals: Ukraine was unable to join NATO before this war anyway, every other geostrategic goal becomes less likely once he orders his troops to bomb Ukraine into the ground.




Do you think Ukraine should surrender already?


How many people need to die before they've reached that point?
If the west was going to intervene directly, they'd have a reason to hold out. We aren't, they don't. The outcome has been known since Joe Biden declared we would not intervene if and when Russia invaded, long before the invasion itself.

Afghanistan's fall is a great example of how relatively bloodless it can be when people in power accept inevitability and give up on being pawns for the west. We didn't watch in horror as the Taliban bombarded Kabul for weeks with heavy artillery while the holdouts fought to their bitter end. Everyone and their mother knew as soon as the US withdrew, the Taliban would take over, and so they let the Taliban take over. A war ended with bribes and pacts and diplomacy, not more IEDs and air strikes. Net result of the Afghanistan war was Taliban still in power, 175,000+ dead including 4000 americans, and 2.6 million refugees. Decades of conflict ended by flopping over and giving up without any more bloodshed. So in Ukraine, what's the point? What are we buying with the lives- of Ukrainians, not our own- that we're sacrificing?
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Mar 20 2022 10:06am
Quote (Gusidevil @ Mar 20 2022 08:59am)
kill as many russian that invades their country!!!!! they have the right to defend their home, their land, if they goona loose,kill as many they can, revenge for shelling civilians!!


not according to the US conservatives
They are so petrified for their own lives the would like to see them bow to communism to save their price of re fueling.
Sleepy Joe is such a powerful speaker he has convinced old men and women to stay and fight on his behalf.
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Mar 20 2022 10:17am
Quote (Gusidevil @ Mar 20 2022 11:59am)
kill as many russian that invades their country!!!!! they have the right to defend their home, their land, if they goona loose,kill as many they can, revenge for shelling civilians!!


The orcs will flee when Sauron is killed by one of his captains.
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Mar 20 2022 10:33am
Quote (Norlander @ 20 Mar 2022 14:57)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russo-Georgian_War

Pretty similar scenario it should be. Even former president of Georgia became a Governor of Odessa Oblast in Ukraine. Same war same faces.


Many georgians volunteers are joining the "international legion (20k total ATM)" to fight in Ukraine.

Quote (theCrossbones @ 20 Mar 2022 16:06)
not according to the US conservatives
They are so petrified for their own lives the would like to see them bow to communism to save their price of re fueling.
Sleepy Joe is such a powerful speaker he has convinced old men and women to stay and fight on his behalf.


They are suddently all becoming peace nobel prize candidates. Weird...
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Mar 20 2022 10:36am
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Mar 20 2022 11:45am)
Once Ukraine has clearly lost this war, they should surrender. We're far from this point though.

Specifically targetting civilians comes with a ton of political risks. Risks undermining the morale of your own troops. Risks losing support for the war among your own people because once a certain scale of atrocities has been exceeded, even the most elaborate propaganda and censorship apparatus can't hide it anymore. Particularly since Putin framed this war as a mission to rescue Ukraine from its evil regime. The risk of the West intervening with its own troops also increases in the face of heart-breaking pictures of Russian atrocities. And like I've mentioned weeks ago in this thread: ruling over the rubble is a lot less worthwhile for Russia than ruling over a somewhat-intact Ukraine.


Regarding the geostrategic goals: Ukraine was unable to join NATO before this war anyway, every other geostrategic goal becomes less likely once he orders his troops to bomb Ukraine into the ground.




Do you think Ukraine should surrender already?


Putin's best case scenario goal was to replace the western puppets for eastern puppets similarly to 2014 and have Ukrainians singing kumbaya as they are forced under Russia's sphere of influence. We can all agree that failed and it was evident it will fail within the first few days. His goal now is to never allow Ukraine to join NATO, limit their military and basically have them recognize the breakaway regions. Russia will most likely get these concessions, so to me having a bunch of Ukrainians needlessly die is pointless. Not sure what point you're waiting for, the longer this drags out the more every other city will start to look like Mariupol. Why can't we skip the deaths/destruction and just accept the outcome?

This post was edited by ofthevoid on Mar 20 2022 10:37am
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Mar 20 2022 10:39am
Quote (Saucisson6000 @ 20 Mar 2022 19:33)
Many georgians volunteers are joining the "international legion (20k total ATM)" to fight in Ukraine.



They are suddently all becoming peace nobel prize candidates. Weird...


20k is a half of their army I believe. It takes 200 flights just to bring them say to Poland. That's propaganda obviously. Video of them coming to Ukraine shows that they are no more than a dozen.
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Mar 20 2022 10:42am
Quote (ofthevoid @ 20 Mar 2022 16:36)
Putin's best case scenario goal was to replace the western puppets for eastern puppets similarly to 2014 and have Ukrainians singing kumbaya as they are forced under Russia's sphere of influence. We can all agree that failed and it was evident it will fail within the first few days. His goal now is to never allow Ukraine to join NATO, limit their military and basically have them recognize the breakaway regions. Russia will most likely get these concessions, so to me having a bunch of Ukrainians needlessly die is pointless. Not sure what point you're waiting for, the longer this drags out the more every other city will start to look like Mariupol. Why can't we skip the deaths and just accept the outcome?


To concede that never joining NATO or whatever entity they want is already a loss of sovereinty IMO.
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