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Mar 18 2022 07:26pm
So far, the Fallout series timeline has been pretty accurate as far as world events. Worldwide plague leads to social unrest and a cold war that accidentally spirals out of control.
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Mar 18 2022 07:55pm
Quote (EndlessSky @ Mar 19 2022 02:26am)
So far, the Fallout series timeline has been pretty accurate as far as world events. Worldwide plague leads to social unrest and a cold war that accidentally spirals out of control.

They all base on the same oldest scenario which always worked, some religions adopted those concepts. The order is different: plague -> war -> famine - > death. Famine and death in Africa is already programmed due to the food export from Russia and Ukraine together. How bad the situation could get? WW3 and world wide famine..
Quote (Santara @ Mar 19 2022 01:08am)
Expect? No. It's not proportionate to the Poles helping Ukrainian defense. If all Poland did was to help push Russian soldiers out of Ukraine, using nukes is neither within Russian law, nor an excuse to end the world. Because nuking Poland absolutely invokes the NATO charter.

If Poland enters Ukraine under whatever reason and starts a conflict with Russian forces it'll be an attack from a Nato member. In this case, article 5 doesn't work, there's no self defense. Russia could nuke a city in Poland and the so called friends would say, too bad, we didn't back you.

This post was edited by babun1024 on Mar 18 2022 07:58pm
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Mar 18 2022 08:03pm
https://www.reuters.com/world/russian-state-tv-cuts-away-putin-during-speech-packed-stadium-2022-03-18/

His fingers are swollen, he takes cortisone or what?


Quote (EndlessSky @ 19 Mar 2022 01:26)
So far, the Fallout series timeline has been pretty accurate as far as world events. Worldwide plague leads to social unrest and a cold war that accidentally spirals out of control.


CyberPunk 2077 isn't that bad either
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Mar 18 2022 08:35pm
These discussions are nonsensical. Poland isn't going anywhere by itself. They keep floating these escalatory movies (sending MIG's now this peace keeping force) because they are afraid that they will lose the buffer state of Ukraine and if things ever do escalate further, they are next up. So right now they're trying their hardest to get all of these other NATO members to commit as much as possible whether by sending more troops to eastern Europe, more heavy arms, etc. In reality I don't see any sort of intervention happening or peace keeping force. Most of Europe and most NATO members really don't want things to escalate to that point. A lot of these countries like Spain, Greece, Italy literally have nothing to gain and a lot to lose by such moves.

I really think we're entering a phase when life will be objectively worse for tens if not hundreds of millions of people. I don't think the world has fully digested the ramifications of Russia's commodities going offline (at least to the western world). Renewables aren't ready and other oil/gas suppliers like gulf states already made it clear they can't fill in the slack nor are they really rushing to do so even if they could. The fact that Ukraine and Russia accounts for so much of the world wheat & fertilizer supply is also deeply problematic for the rest of the world. Don't forget what happened in the ME when there was food shortage during the arab spring. This is a bigger catalyst than that. Instead of people treating this like some sort of Risk board game people need to push for immediate resolution which means not escalating but giving concessions and truly trying to get this to end.


This post was edited by ofthevoid on Mar 18 2022 08:38pm
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Mar 18 2022 11:03pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ Mar 18 2022 07:35pm)
These discussions are nonsensical. Poland isn't going anywhere by itself. They keep floating these escalatory movies (sending MIG's now this peace keeping force) because they are afraid that they will lose the buffer state of Ukraine and if things ever do escalate further, they are next up. So right now they're trying their hardest to get all of these other NATO members to commit as much as possible whether by sending more troops to eastern Europe, more heavy arms, etc. In reality I don't see any sort of intervention happening or peace keeping force. Most of Europe and most NATO members really don't want things to escalate to that point. A lot of these countries like Spain, Greece, Italy literally have nothing to gain and a lot to lose by such moves.

I really think we're entering a phase when life will be objectively worse for tens if not hundreds of millions of people. I don't think the world has fully digested the ramifications of Russia's commodities going offline (at least to the western world). Renewables aren't ready and other oil/gas suppliers like gulf states already made it clear they can't fill in the slack nor are they really rushing to do so even if they could. The fact that Ukraine and Russia accounts for so much of the world wheat & fertilizer supply is also deeply problematic for the rest of the world. Don't forget what happened in the ME when there was food shortage during the arab spring. This is a bigger catalyst than that. Instead of people treating this like some sort of Risk board game people need to push for immediate resolution which means not escalating but giving concessions and truly trying to get this to end.


It's not realistic, but a peace keeping force is absolutely necessary. Russia needs to demilitarize within 500 miles of European countries and we should have China guarantee Russia's defense. The fastest way for this war to end is for Russia to quit. They aren't going to win this war with current troop levels and the should probably have a surge if they want to win. 500,000 troops should do the trick but I really don't think that will be popular at home.
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Mar 19 2022 12:08am
Quote (thundercock @ Mar 19 2022 12:03am)
It's not realistic, but a peace keeping force is absolutely necessary. Russia needs to demilitarize within 500 miles of European countries and we should have China guarantee Russia's defense. The fastest way for this war to end is for Russia to quit. They aren't going to win this war with current troop levels and the should probably have a surge if they want to win. 500,000 troops should do the trick but I really don't think that will be popular at home.


Nonsense all we need is a brief overwhelming conventional bombing campaign and the shock and awe of our force will immediately end all resistance from the russians and neutralize their invasion training camps. Then we'll declare mission accomplished, roust a few out of their caves with bunker busters and be home in time for sunday mass, god bless america.
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Mar 19 2022 12:10am
Quote (Lebanon961 @ 18 Mar 2022 22:09)
What is more propaganda lies, Russia's fears about NATO encroachment or portraying the encroachment as a rosy "coalition of the willing" ? :)


A defensive mission by neighbors to help a country that's being invaded and bombed into the ground is not "encroachment". -_-

It must be stressed again and again that none of this would have happened without Russia's decision to attack Ukraine and that there was no imminent danger of Ukraine joining NATO. Due to the conflicts in the separatist regions in eastern Ukraine, a NATO membership was never realistic, no matter what a big game the clown Zelensky was talking. There was NO legitimate reason for Russia to invade Ukraine in the first place and they have no reason to cry foul when Ukraine's friends or allies come to defend Ukraine's territory. Like I said before: the forces of this "coalition of the willing" would of course have to refrain from moving on the Russian border under all circumstances, let alone actually invading Russia.



Simply put, when a schoolyard bully tries to beat up a smaller dude, he has no justification for complaining when the brothers or friends of his victim interfere.
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Mar 19 2022 12:17am
Quote (ferdia @ 18 Mar 2022 22:50)
i really dont see nato troops going to ukraine.

Not under the NATO umbrella.

Quote (babun1024 @ 19 Mar 2022 00:15)
Right now, Putler doesn't have any "justifiable" targets for nukes from Nato states. Should a member state send so called peacekeepers expect real strikes. As always Poland would be the prime target for multiple reasons, also habit.

If Poland unilaterally decides to send its own troops to Kyiv to help defend the city, without moving further north, how exactly would this justify a Russian nuclear strike on Poland?


Quote (Goomshill @ 19 Mar 2022 02:17)
If it comes to a shooting war between NATO forces and Russia, it won't be constrained by proportionality nor law. Nothing could spiral out of control faster. Russia reacts by attacking Poland, NATO gets dragged into the war, the nukes fly. This entire scenario exists in the first place because Biden chose not to hold Ukraine in the face of Russian aggression. Now we're talking about NATO with a counterinvasion to take it back and risk nuclear annihilation from a conflict that inevitably escalates to full blown war? Nonsense

What the fuck, lol?! Why are you talking about a counterinvasion? Russia has NOT taken Ukraine yet, so how exactly would it constitute a (counter)invasion if Poland sends troops onto the territory that is controlled by, and legitimately belongs to, the Ukrainian government?

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Mar 19 2022 12:18am
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Mar 19 2022 12:30am
Quote (ofthevoid @ Mar 19 2022 04:35am)
I don't think the world has fully digested the ramifications of Russia's commodities going offline (at least to the western world).


Very true it will take a few months. Sanctions on oil and gas are not really sustainable, and they only help China in the end.

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Mar 19 2022 02:05am
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Mar 18 2022 10:17pm)


What the fuck, lol?! Why are you talking about a counterinvasion? Russia has NOT taken Ukraine yet, so how exactly would it constitute a (counter)invasion if Poland sends troops onto the territory that is controlled by, and legitimately belongs to, the Ukrainian government?


Goom is pretty deliberate in his posts, and I think one can give the benefit of the doubt here and assume that means what NATO would call a liberation of occupied territory in Ukraine, not a conquest of territory in Russia, the latter of which even the pants shitter in the white house knows would be a catastrophic mistake.
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