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Feb 6 2023 04:19pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Feb 6 2023 10:13pm)
If Ukraine can hold off the impending major offensive by the Russians, and the frontline freezes at roughly its current position in the aftermath, then the vast majority of Ukraine will have won its sovereignty and freedom. I actually agree with you that the idea of Ukraine dislodging Russia from the entire Donbass looks daunting at the moment, to put it mildly. Still, limiting Russian gains to what they currently control (which isn't that much more than what they controlled before Feb 24) would be a strategic win for Ukraine.

So to answer your question: what all the Western support has gotten Ukraine is a fighting chance. The coming weeks will tell us wether this chance will be seized, squandered, or turn out to have been a mirage all along.


and agree with that as well.

This post was edited by ferdia on Feb 6 2023 04:19pm
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Feb 6 2023 04:20pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Feb 6 2023 05:13pm)
If Ukraine can hold off the impending major offense by the Russians, and the frontline freezes at roughly its current position in the aftermath, then the vast majority of Ukraine will have won its sovereignty and freedom. I actually agree with you that the idea of Ukraine dislodging Russia from the entire Donbass looks daunting at the moment, to put it mildly. Still, limiting Russian gains to what they currently control (which isn't that much more than what they controlled before Feb 24) would be a strategic win for Ukraine.

So to answer your question: what all the Western support has gotten Ukraine is a fighting chance. The coming weeks will tell us wether this chance will be seized, squandered, or turn out to have been a mirage all along.


The media is fixated on the next coming weeks, as if it's certain they will go all in. Maybe but maybe not. They could just continue the same style of slow grind that we've seen in the last 4-5 months with slowly taking territory, i mean it's been kind of working tbh. If that's the case you may not get this climactic inflection point, then what? Back to the slow drip of sending them billions every few weeks to just hang on?

This post was edited by ofthevoid on Feb 6 2023 04:22pm
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Feb 6 2023 04:22pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ Feb 6 2023 10:20pm)
The media is fixated on the next coming weeks, as if it's certain they will go all in. Maybe but maybe not. They could just continue the same style of slow grind that we've seen in the last 4-5 months with slowly taking territory, i mean it's been kind of working tbh. If that's the case you may not get this climactic inflection point, then what? Back to the slow drip of sending them billions every few weeks?


yes ? XD hard to argue your post, but well, if russia gives ukraine time and space god knows what all this influx of weapons will do.

This post was edited by ferdia on Feb 6 2023 04:23pm
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Feb 6 2023 04:25pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ Feb 6 2023 10:20pm)
The media is fixated on the next coming weeks, as if it's certain they will go all in. Maybe but maybe not. They could just continue the same style of slow grind that we've seen in the last 4-5 months with slowly taking territory, i mean it's been kind of working tbh. If that's the case you may not get this climactic inflection point, then what? Back to the slow drip of sending them billions every few weeks to just hang on?


What is the alternative? We would all love to hear it.
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Feb 6 2023 04:27pm
Quote (ferdia @ Feb 6 2023 05:22pm)
yes ? XD hard to argue your post, but well, if russia gives ukraine time and space god knows what all this influx of weapons will do.


It's enough to keep up the fight but still does not match Russia hardware volume. That's ultimately my point though, Ukraine ain't winning unless we up the ante significantly. 100 tanks and a bunch of APC's in the grand scheme which they have coming this year are nothing when on the other side they still have 10k tanks and who knows the amount or artillery. If you're still outmatched down from 10:1 to 3:1 in artillery barrages, it's still a losing proposition.

This post was edited by ofthevoid on Feb 6 2023 04:37pm
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Feb 6 2023 04:32pm
Quote (Prox1m1ty @ Feb 6 2023 06:25pm)
What is the alternative? We would all love to hear it.


Send the scottish military in to save the day.
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Feb 6 2023 04:36pm
Quote (DizzyBusiness @ Feb 6 2023 05:32pm)
Send the scottish military in to save the day.


Personally I think it would be fair to have a trade system. Poor innocent Ukrainians who don’t want to fight can leave and go live while westerners so gung-ho have free rein to go in there and fight.

This post was edited by ofthevoid on Feb 6 2023 04:36pm
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Feb 6 2023 04:45pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ Feb 6 2023 10:36pm)
Personally I think it would be fair to have a trade system. Poor innocent Ukrainians who don’t want to fight can leave and go live while westerners so gung-ho have free rein to go in there and fight.


Sounds like a solid well thought out alternative to supporting Ukraine. Now your whining about supporting Ukraine makes total sense!
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Feb 6 2023 04:46pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ Feb 6 2023 06:36pm)
Personally I think it would be fair to have a trade system. Poor innocent Ukrainians who don’t want to fight can leave and go live while westerners so gung-ho have free rein to go in there and fight.


Lol oh God the Russians wouldn't stand a chance. Just give Prox1m1ty a bullhorn and they'd off themselves just to escape the stupid.
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Feb 6 2023 05:32pm
Quote (Prox1m1ty @ Feb 6 2023 05:45pm)
Sounds like a solid well thought out alternative to supporting Ukraine. Now your whining about supporting Ukraine makes total sense!


Yes it's to support Ukrainians. Better than the alternative of the hundreds of videos surfacing where random Ukrainians in Stasi style are getting kidnaped in the streets to go to the front cuz democracy.

For example, 17 year old in this video, can go to university and have free will and if someone like you wants to prove their metal and show those Russians, you can feel free to do so.

https://twitter.com/AZgeopolitics/status/1622660027277352961

This post was edited by ofthevoid on Feb 6 2023 05:36pm
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