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Jan 21 2023 01:59am
Quote (fender @ Jan 20 2023 11:51pm)
how many kremlin lies can you put into one post while still claiming to look at it from an unbiased perspective?

goon-shill: yes!


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Jan 21 2023 02:32am
Quote (Goomshill @ Jan 21 2023 12:44am)
And what was Russia's alternative to invading Ukraine? Not invading Ukraine? Not supporting Ukraine's right to exist as a sovereign country, and abandoning the ethnic Russian majority to the ongoing NATO siege of the east? Ceding their geopolitical sphere to American aggression until they've got nothing beyond their own borders?

This kind of logic isn't circular and isn't morally relativistic, it has finite grounding. The facts are that in this conflict, America provoked an inevitable reaction, Russia responded. We pushed NATO right up to their borders and put them into a corner, we overthrew the democratic government in Ukraine to set up our own pro-NATO dictatorship, and Russia finally reached a breaking point. Then when they hit back, we turn around and accuse them of being the aggressors. We could have simply chosen to preserve status quo in Ukraine circa 2014, but Joe Biden micromanaged a color revolution instead and handpicked the new government of willing stooges to the CIA. And when Joe Biden became president and was faced with a Russian buildup on the border, and dithered and said we would not try to intervene to stop an invasion- we could have simply followed through and let Russia reclaim control of the country. Which might have given Ukraine less sovereignty than the status quo ante we had thrown out the window, but which obviously and undeniably was a better outcome for the Ukrainian people. Who had spent centuries or millenia under the Russian sphere save for these short few years of NATO meddling, and its not like they were facing daily horrors of nu-holodomors or cossacks again, they had their shitty peaceful lives.


From some moralizing lens, the war is clearly bad. We're giving heavy weaponry to nazi insurrectionists to get as many poor people killed as we can in hopes of killing some more russians. But I've always said that what matters is the pragmatic geopolitical lens, in which our intervention is still self-destructive because we're fracturing our relationships with the unaligned world and driving them into the Russian/Chinese camps, strengthening the bonds of our two greatest rivals, tanking our own economy and still going to come out of the whole thing with Russia holding onto the only valuable parts of Ukraine while we earn nothing but a bunch of hungry mouths to feed, except this time around they're not muslims but we don't have any food anyway because Russia holds the grain now lmao


This is one of the best breakdowns of the situation I've read, really well written.
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Jan 21 2023 02:40am
Quote (Santara @ Jan 20 2023 02:43pm)
Do you have any idea how retarded you sound when you act like you're a messenger from God?


That irony. Only you, pigy6000 and proximity (pretty much) are the only ones left defending this another NATO war against the evil russia.

Let's not forget to take another booster fatty
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Jan 21 2023 02:46am
Quote (DizzyBusiness @ Jan 21 2023 02:32am)
This is one of the best breakdowns of the situation I've read, really well written.


I mean we've gone over it a lot of times in this thread so its getting to be a sort of rote business to lay it out

It kind of reminds me of the George Floyd threads in a parallel thought process. Where the mainstream conversation has a canonical gospel that you cannot dare contradict, but doesn't hold up to basic logical scrutiny in the slightest. There's no real counterargument to people pointing out that the Ukraine had a free and fair democratic government representative of its people, which was overthrown by a CIA-backed coup where we allied with literal Nazis. There's no counterargument to pointing out that Ukrainians would be far better off in the status quo ante of a peaceful Russian sphere of influence, than the absolute destruction and humanitarian crisis this war brought them. The counterargument is to call them a Russian sympathizer. Hell, at least arguments over Iraq and Afghanistan opened more thoughtful discussions between legitimate concerns like world security vs self-determination vs personal liberties, even if they were drowned out by calling the other side pinko commie faggots. And I make that comparison because if you bring up Floyd's autopsy and all the physical evidence at the trial and illogic of disproving a negative ('chauvin's magic knee exerting the goldilocks amount of force that killed floyd without leaving a mark'), well then you're just a racist, say the same people who threw in their lot with literal nazi war criminals in the 21st century.

Longwinded point I'm making is that its narrative in the total absence of logic. Lots of people make great arguments for why our foreign policy is harming our national interests, why its immoral, etc etc. The only thing I hear against it is ooga booga me hate thing news tell me bad
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Jan 21 2023 03:13am
Quote (Meanwhile @ 20 Jan 2023 22:11)
I think it's a good one:

Germany hasn’t made a decision to allow the sending of Leopard battle tanks to Ukraine, but will allow other countries to train Ukrainian soldiers on the vehicles.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/germany-allows-ukraine-preparatory-training-160539831.html

:bonk:

This is clearly headed toward Germany not sending Leopard tanks of its own, but at least allowing other countries to send Leos to Ukraine, e.g. Poland and Finland.



Quote (ofthevoid @ 20 Jan 2023 21:40)
It's not, as German polls have clearly showed that Germans are not in favor of sending tanks. This is what Democracy and following the will of your people looks like.

If you want more done go lobby your own government which has done a tiny fraction of what Germany has done when it comes to actually helping Ukrainians.

Public opinion in Germany is currently very split on this issue. A recent poll by our state-sponsored broadcaster (equivalent to a BBC-sponsored poll in the UK or a poll by NPR in the US) showed 46% of respondents in favor of sending Leos, 43% opposed and 11% undecided. Now, these polls by state-sponsored public media outlets tend to skew toward the "establishment position" on most issues, so I would guess that the true opinion in Germany is more like... 41 in favor 46 against or something along those lines, but the bigger picture is definitely that neither position has clear majority support.

https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/deutschlandtrend/deutschlandtrend-3277.html

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Jan 21 2023 03:23am
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Jan 21 2023 03:42am
Quote (Goomshill @ Jan 21 2023 04:46am)
I mean we've gone over it a lot of times in this thread so its getting to be a sort of rote business to lay it out

It kind of reminds me of the George Floyd threads in a parallel thought process. Where the mainstream conversation has a canonical gospel that you cannot dare contradict, but doesn't hold up to basic logical scrutiny in the slightest. There's no real counterargument to people pointing out that the Ukraine had a free and fair democratic government representative of its people, which was overthrown by a CIA-backed coup where we allied with literal Nazis. There's no counterargument to pointing out that Ukrainians would be far better off in the status quo ante of a peaceful Russian sphere of influence, than the absolute destruction and humanitarian crisis this war brought them. The counterargument is to call them a Russian sympathizer. Hell, at least arguments over Iraq and Afghanistan opened more thoughtful discussions between legitimate concerns like world security vs self-determination vs personal liberties, even if they were drowned out by calling the other side pinko commie faggots. And I make that comparison because if you bring up Floyd's autopsy and all the physical evidence at the trial and illogic of disproving a negative ('chauvin's magic knee exerting the goldilocks amount of force that killed floyd without leaving a mark'), well then you're just a racist, say the same people who threw in their lot with literal nazi war criminals in the 21st century.

Longwinded point I'm making is that its narrative in the total absence of logic. Lots of people make great arguments for why our foreign policy is harming our national interests, why its immoral, etc etc. The only thing I hear against it is ooga booga me hate thing news tell me bad


Haha I suppose so, it does seem a bit repetitive in here some days but that stood out to me as a particularly clear and concise explanation.

I definitely know the type of mainstream gospel narrative you are talking about, I don't quite understand it yet to be honest, I've noticed it more and more since Trump ran for office in 2016 but I'm not sure if it's becoming more prevalent or if I'm just becoming more biased against the MSM which makes me see it more now. It's really weird though lol.

Have you ever read any Curtis Yarvin? I've been reading some of his work trying to wrap my head around a concept he calls "the cathedral" which is basically the union of academia and the media in western society, I am too stupid to fully understand it yet but you might find it interesting if you haven't heard of him before
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Jan 21 2023 05:06am
Quote (Goomshill @ 21 Jan 2023 12:44)
And what was Russia's alternative to invading Ukraine? Not invading Ukraine? Not supporting Ukraine's right to exist as a sovereign country, and abandoning the ethnic Russian majority to the ongoing NATO siege of the east? Ceding their geopolitical sphere to American aggression until they've got nothing beyond their own borders?

This kind of logic isn't circular and isn't morally relativistic, it has finite grounding. The facts are that in this conflict, America provoked an inevitable reaction, Russia responded. We pushed NATO right up to their borders and put them into a corner, we overthrew the democratic government in Ukraine to set up our own pro-NATO dictatorship, and Russia finally reached a breaking point. Then when they hit back, we turn around and accuse them of being the aggressors. We could have simply chosen to preserve status quo in Ukraine circa 2014, but Joe Biden micromanaged a color revolution instead and handpicked the new government of willing stooges to the CIA. And when Joe Biden became president and was faced with a Russian buildup on the border, and dithered and said we would not try to intervene to stop an invasion- we could have simply followed through and let Russia reclaim control of the country. Which might have given Ukraine less sovereignty than the status quo ante we had thrown out the window, but which obviously and undeniably was a better outcome for the Ukrainian people. Who had spent centuries or millenia under the Russian sphere save for these short few years of NATO meddling, and its not like they were facing daily horrors of nu-holodomors or cossacks again, they had their shitty peaceful lives.


From some moralizing lens, the war is clearly bad. We're giving heavy weaponry to nazi insurrectionists to get as many poor people killed as we can in hopes of killing some more russians. But I've always said that what matters is the pragmatic geopolitical lens, in which our intervention is still self-destructive because we're fracturing our relationships with the unaligned world and driving them into the Russian/Chinese camps, strengthening the bonds of our two greatest rivals, tanking our own economy and still going to come out of the whole thing with Russia holding onto the only valuable parts of Ukraine while we earn nothing but a bunch of hungry mouths to feed, except this time around they're not muslims but we don't have any food anyway because Russia holds the grain now lmao


Thank you.
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Jan 21 2023 05:11am
Quote (Prox1m1ty @ Jan 21 2023 01:13am)
Wait. Merkel and Sarkozy blocked Ukraine because they foresaw the current situation?
That doesn't make sense


how does it not make sense ? it makes perfect sense. they knew that frogmarching ukraine with open arms into nato was a massive red line of russia's and therefore they delayed it. they should be commended.

Quote (Goomshill @ Jan 21 2023 04:44am)
And what was Russia's alternative to invading Ukraine? Not invading Ukraine? Not supporting Ukraine's right to exist as a sovereign country, and abandoning the ethnic Russian majority to the ongoing NATO siege of the east? Ceding their geopolitical sphere to American aggression until they've got nothing beyond their own borders?

This kind of logic isn't circular and isn't morally relativistic, it has finite grounding. The facts are that in this conflict, America provoked an inevitable reaction, Russia responded. We pushed NATO right up to their borders and put them into a corner, we overthrew the democratic government in Ukraine to set up our own pro-NATO dictatorship, and Russia finally reached a breaking point. Then when they hit back, we turn around and accuse them of being the aggressors. We could have simply chosen to preserve status quo in Ukraine circa 2014, but Joe Biden micromanaged a color revolution instead and handpicked the new government of willing stooges to the CIA. And when Joe Biden became president and was faced with a Russian buildup on the border, and dithered and said we would not try to intervene to stop an invasion- we could have simply followed through and let Russia reclaim control of the country. Which might have given Ukraine less sovereignty than the status quo ante we had thrown out the window, but which obviously and undeniably was a better outcome for the Ukrainian people. Who had spent centuries or millenia under the Russian sphere save for these short few years of NATO meddling, and its not like they were facing daily horrors of nu-holodomors or cossacks again, they had their shitty peaceful lives.


From some moralizing lens, the war is clearly bad. We're giving heavy weaponry to nazi insurrectionists to get as many poor people killed as we can in hopes of killing some more russians. But I've always said that what matters is the pragmatic geopolitical lens, in which our intervention is still self-destructive because we're fracturing our relationships with the unaligned world and driving them into the Russian/Chinese camps, strengthening the bonds of our two greatest rivals, tanking our own economy and still going to come out of the whole thing with Russia holding onto the only valuable parts of Ukraine while we earn nothing but a bunch of hungry mouths to feed, except this time around they're not muslims but we don't have any food anyway because Russia holds the grain now lmao


i agree.

This post was edited by ferdia on Jan 21 2023 05:20am
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Jan 21 2023 05:16am
Quote (Prox1m1ty @ Jan 20 2023 11:40pm)
I see what your implying.
So Russia will "win" when? Is it 2-3 months again?


Again a reference to an old statement I made like 10 months ago? And we all know that the West propped up Ukraine and bought them time? You're literally scraping the bottom of the barrel.

You should look at what has happened and think things over --> Russian mobilization and buildup and the state of the Ukrainian army right now.

And do you really think there won't be another major offensive?


Quote (Santara @ Jan 21 2023 12:16am)
Saying "heads are on the chopping block" is a well known euphemism for paying serious, personal consequences, not "some of their voters will be mad at them and not vote for them."

If Americans vote in a Republican in 2024, that doesn't mean that they get voted in because they opposed supporting Ukraine. There's plenty of reasons why people pull the lever for a candidate. So no, I don't foresee any real consequences for Western governments over supporting Ukraine defending themselves from Russian aggression.


Heads will roll, you know what I meant. You've seen my reply to Ferdia, I was taking the EU as an example cuz they will be the biggest losers if Russia wins. The US will be fine I guess as this is just another useless and costly shit conflict that no one will care about when it's all over.


Quote (fender @ Jan 21 2023 01:52am)
i'm not asking russia, i'm asking you. pootin sees it one way in 2003, and another way in 2014. i clearly see it the way pootin saw it in 2003: ukraine is a sovereign country, and it's up to their citizens if they want to ask NATO to join or not.

YOU, however, try to have it both ways: on the one hand you keep saying NATO "fucked up" by acknowledging ukraine's aspiration to join, but at the same time you act offended when someone draws the logical conclusion that you support pootin's current position, which is that the russian president should be able to tell if ukraine is allowed to join NATO or not. both can't be true at the same time, so grow a pair and tell us what YOU personally think.

spoiler alert: we all know where your heart REALLY is, that's why you keep dodging this question, that's why your first reaction to russia murdering ukrainian children is "b-b-but what about NATO and greta thunberg?!". so please spare us the fake outrage, pootin bootlicker.


You are fucking hopeless. Russia is acting like they do because that's what they do, this was all predictable and the West should've negotiated like smart leaders always did in the past unlike present day emotional woke "progressive" snowflakes.

BTW Putin's 2003 statement was made in *drumroll* 2003 and NATO's Bucharest summit where NATO welcomed Ukraine / Georgia future membership was in *drumroll* 2008

Like I said before go tell the Russians that they can't change policies and NATO can do whatever they please and the bad bad dictators and kleptocrats should just fucking cope. Good luck


This post was edited by Djunior on Jan 21 2023 05:16am
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Jan 21 2023 05:38am


to my mind there is an error in your logic. when you say the west should have negotiated, i would ask why? while i personally agree with you, it was in certain parties interests for Ukraine to be in Nato and the risk of war was deemed acceptable. from another viewpoint - Why should they have negotiated ? Everything has gone to plan. Ultimately, the west IS led by its leader, who was HAPPY not to negotiate, was HAPPY to stop anyone from negotiating, is HAPPY to perpetuate this war and will be HAPPY regardless of the outcome (in the short term) noting Russia is now dispised / cut off from the west with no credible route to co-operation. up to this point i would say that broadly, All that has to be done now is ensure that Ukraine does not threaten russian soil (heavy messing then), therefore no long range weapons for ukraine, dont negotiate, and try to help Ukraine hold out as long as possible, and see what happens.

This post was edited by ferdia on Jan 21 2023 05:39am
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