Quote (thesnipa @ 16 Mar 2022 16:38)
the question gets hard with weapons sales because after the fall of the USSR there was a period of a firesale for a bit, i dont know enough without having to read up a massive amount when Russia stopped exporting old USSR tech and when they started the phase they're in now in which they've developed new weapons. we see almost daily now reports of new missiles, new tanks, new drones, new planes. questions of how they'll match up with western and US tech, etc.
but i think its safe to say pre-2014 Ukraine was more likely to buy Russian weapons than US weapons, and its safe to say a post-2014 western friendlier Ukraine govt is more likely to buy US weapons, as they have, to directly counter Russian weapons.
India seems precariously positioned to play both sides, buying Russian oil and weapons, while also being a china-like conduit for the western economy with their stronghold on outsourced customer service, billing industry, and engineering.
China wants gas/oil/etc but im sure has very little need for Russian weapons, unless its in small batches to reverse engineer.
at some point im sure Russia will be fairly low on weapons sales targets, Iran, Syria, and maybe a few other bottom dollar snake pits will remain. and old USSR shitholes like Belarus. slim pickings get slimmer.
im curious what the NATO/OPEC relationship is moving forward in this situation, havent read up on that at all.
i severely doubt that their record years (2011 / 2012) were sales of former soviet material. again, their weapons export statistic doesn't give ANY indication to suggest NATO enlargement hurt it - nor do their overall foreign trade numbers.
unfortunately, there will always be plenty of destinations to sell arms to for russia. not only india, china, belarus, and kazakhstan, but also pakistan, middle eastern countries (iraq, syria, UAE, saudi-arabia), the south-east asia / pacific region (vietnam, myanmar, indonesia, sri lanka, bangladesh), africa (algeria, egypt, angola, zimbabwe), south america (venezuela, peru, brazil)... none of which NATO members or candidates...