Quote (Goomshill @ Jan 3 2023 11:39am)
Russia has no more realistic ability to intercept HIMARs than Ukraine does to intercept Kalibrs. Expensive and unreliable interceptors that seem to have more confirmed 'overshoot and fall on a neighboring country' incidents than confirmed intercepts. Generally speaking, anything in missile range of each other is vulnerable and all of Ukraine is in Russia's missile range, its just the US provided arms that are giving Ukraine an ability to kill Russians in the Donbas and across the border into Russia now. Which of course puts us far closer to world war 3 than anything since and probably including the cuban missile crisis. So its definitely worth paying attention to if and how Russia chooses to respond, losing dozens, perhaps a hundred or more Russians in a single attack to US weaponry is not going to be easily forgotten. And if Russia starts accusing the west of having little green men of their own running around in Ukraine operating the missile batteries, well that would certainly bring into question why we declined to provide Patriots for that exact stated reason and then turned around and decided to provide Patriots after all.
This whole conflict is showing how truly impotent interceptors are at downing missiles, and to think there was a whole initiative trying to apply that to ICBMs in the descent phase when they're traveling miles per second on erratic paths with MIRVs and decoys and a cross section less than two feet
The Russians claimed to have shot down some of the HIMARS in the attack.
Not that it matters.
Also you can't compare the range of HIMARs and Kalibre missiles.
One is about 50 miles
The other is about 2500 miles
Having this concentration of troops within range of Ukraines HIMARs, which they know Ukraine have, is a massive oversight and failure by Russian commanders.
It's also possible that Ukraine chose not to attack such targets until now, and that was a surprise to the Russians; or they never had missiles in position to hit those targets until it happened.
Either way it's a huge blunder and it cost at least, and most likely more than 63 Russian soldiers the ultimate price.
We know that the Kremlin deems Russian soldiers to be expendable but there will most definitely be blowback from this incident domestically.
Just did a crude calculation based on what you said about ICBM and apparently they will reach 15,000 mph. Which equals about miles per second.
Pretty wild.