Quote (Goomshill @ Dec 31 2022 03:22pm)
Most of Ukraine including Kiev has water piping that relies on central heated water to be pumped into buildings to heat them, which means that if its disrupted it freezes the pipes, and the central heating can't be easily replaced with fuels or electricity or whatever.
To survive a lot of civilians are going to have to abandon their apartment blocks and congregate in centralized areas. Which makes them sitting ducks for Russian airstrikes.
Actually this method of shelling and targeting civilian infrastructure is just classic Russian military doctrine.
The outcome will be self-segregation of civilians. Some will leave as refugees. Russia will never have to worry about those civilians again. Anyone who stays under the age of around 55 likely stayed to fight, and then Russian's can shell them as combatants. eg Maruipol, Bakhmut
If they cannot win with a conventional military occupation, they can leave areas uninhabitable through the destruction of infrastructure and agricultural land.