Quote (ofthevoid @ Dec 29 2022 06:30pm)
I would be highly skeptical of the results if since the split from the USSR that region in Ukraine has been anti-Russia but you can look at prior voting patterns in Ukraine for evidence. The Donbass and Crimea have always been pro-Russian strong holds, way before any conflict.
I don't know if the referendums were shams but it takes more faith to think all of the sudden that these people hate Russians and are leading insurgencies against Russians. There was a literal civil war in the Donbass for 8 years, Ukraine has shelled Donetsk continuously during that time and still do today really. You really think the locals there, that are getting shelled by Ukrainians, that have always voted pro-Russian that have the highest Russian ethnic populations out of all Ukraine that have been in a civil war with Ukraine are anti-Russian?
100% there will be insurgency if Russia attempt to hold land occupied in 2022
Don't overlook that most pro democracy Ukrainians left after the invasion.
There are already plenty of insurgent actions, and that is while conventional war is still taking place.
If and when there is a ceasefire it will be rife with insurgency.
This post was edited by Prox1m1ty on Dec 29 2022 01:10pm