Yes, I agree. There's a real risk for Bloomberg that he alienates progressives because the optics/rhetoric/soundbites he produces are too conservative, while he also alienates conservatives by policies which are too liberal for their taste, for example on gun rights and climate change.

Agreed. Sad times for the US.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/483592-sanders-up-by-18-points-in-california-survey

Barnie isn't messing round

would be hilarious if Bernie bags almost all delegates in CA with jsut 32% of the vote because the rest of the field is so incredibly fractured that every single one of them fails to pass the 15% elibigility threshold.

That seems incredibly unlikely since the 15% threshold applies to congressional districts as well. There will be several districts in CA where Bernie doesn't hit the 15% mark.

That's why I (intentionally!) wrote "almost all" instead of "all". If the other candidates stay below the eligibility threshold, they would get no statewide delegates at all, and they would logically stay below the treshold in a lot of districts, potentially even most of them.

But I think MOST delegates are at the district level. Less than 20% are statewide I think. You have to remember that CA is a VERY diverse state. People in San Francisco are very different than Los Angeles, San Diego, and Fresno. Do you really think the Vietnamese are going to vote for Sanders? That's several congressional districts right there.

EDIT:
https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P20/CA-D

Of the 415 delegates, only 90 are statewide. So over 20%, but still quite a small number. But you're right that 90 delegates is a hell of a lot better than 40!


This post was edited by thundercock on Feb 19 2020 04:13pm

Is gonna be Sherrod Brown 2024 guys. It's gonna be trump's White House until then.

I think of trump was weaker there would be a lot of different candidates running.

This post was edited by Skinned on Feb 19 2020 04:15pm

Afaik, the 54 pledged delegates will also be allocated based on statewide results, for a total of 144 statewide delegates.