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Dec 15 2022 12:33pm
yes i agree with , question is why russia dont do this? only massiv attaq ~ 30 drone. why not send 300 , or maybe 3k of drone in same time?

so there is a problem , isnt a cost question.
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Dec 15 2022 12:35pm
Quote (Pisior @ Dec 15 2022 01:33pm)
yes i agree with ^ofthevoid , question is why russia dont do this? only massiv attaq ~ 30 drone. why not send 300 , or maybe 3k of drone in same time?

so there is a problem , isnt a cost question.


From my understanding, these are Iranian supplied drones. If I had to guess it probably has to do with how many they can actually source from Iran. I doubt Iran can produce and export them to Russia at a clip of tens of thousands a month. They probably have limited supply/production capability.
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Dec 15 2022 12:35pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ 15 Dec 2022 18:45)
This is not fact actually but supposition on wishful thinking.

Drones are a small fraction of the cost of what a cruise missile is. That's the real reason they would rather use drones over missiles, especially for non crucial targets.

I posted about this awhile back actually.

Kalibr cruise missile cost =6.5 million
Shaheed drone cost = ~20k per

That means you could fire over 300 drones for the cost of one Kailbr missile. It's about cost/benefit.



Russia's slow Iranian-made drones are easy to target. Less than 200 km/h vs 6 times more for regular missiles.

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Dec 15 2022 12:36pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ Dec 15 2022 07:35pm)
From my understanding, these are Iranian supplied drones. If I had to guess it probably has to do with how many they can actually source from Iran. I doubt Iran can produce and export them to Russia at a clip of tens of thousands a month. They probably have limited supply/production capability.


yeah was thinking of this too, but Iran said she dont make trade anymore with russia since the ukraine war...
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Dec 15 2022 12:37pm
Quote (Pisior @ Dec 15 2022 01:36pm)
yeah was thinking of this too, but Iran said she dont make trade anymore with russia since the ukraine war...


This is a lie lol. It's just PR speech.
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Dec 15 2022 12:38pm
Quote (ferdia @ 15 Dec 2022 19:19)
i see simple math, spelling, logic and maturity eludes you. your a joke lol.



this is also sound, I think it should be accepted that they are running low on weapons/missiles (all sides). i mean, its a war, its logical.


LOL

apart from the hilarious irony, it is you who misses, or rather misidentifies a non sequitur as "logic". just because it's obviously cheaper to fire cheap drones does NOT mean that you can't have run out of expensive options. it's the kind of non-argument that hacks make in order to avoid reasonable conclusions like "it's likely they are having procurement issues based on the fact they've been using their missiles considerably less frequently for similar targets".
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Dec 15 2022 12:42pm
this is not a cost question, this is a ratio question. and target question. that why russia use the two.

This post was edited by Pisior on Dec 15 2022 12:42pm
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Dec 15 2022 12:42pm
Quote (fender @ 15 Dec 2022 19:38)
LOL

apart from the hilarious irony, it is you who misses, or rather misidentifies a non sequitur as "logic". just because it's obviously cheaper to fire cheap drones does NOT mean that you can't have run out of expensive options. it's the kind of non-argument that hacks make in order to avoid reasonable conclusions like "it's likely they are having procurement issues based on the fact they've been using their missiles considerably less frequently for similar targets".


Completely agree. Thus i wrote a considerably important point in the post above but the thing will be dodged with caution.
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Dec 15 2022 12:44pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ Dec 15 2022 06:28pm)
They continue to use Kalibr missile, much more sparingly than before. It's on you to produce evidence that they are out of them or running low, which i'd wager you have no way to do other than reference some western media outlet that repeated this without substantiation because they want it to be true. If the line of "Russia is running out of xyz" wasn't used a dozen times in the last 9 months or so, maybe i could give it the benefit of the doubt.

It make a lot more sense to save expensive missiles for high value targets versus default to room temperature iq takes like "they are out of missiles" for the 29th time this year.


I agree what your saying appears logical, but by the same virtue you can't prove they are not running low, other than to referencing some Russian state owned media outlet.

Or claiming they are saving precision missiles for high value targets, which by the way would clearly still exist today as they did earlier in the war.

This post was edited by Prox1m1ty on Dec 15 2022 12:53pm
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Dec 15 2022 12:55pm
Quote (Prox1m1ty @ Dec 15 2022 01:44pm)
I agree what your saying appears logical, but by the same virtue you can't prove they are not running low, other than to referencing some Russian state owned media outlet.

Or claiming they are saving precision missiles for high value targets, which by the way would clearly still exist today as they did earlier in the war.


If you say someone is running low on something yet they continue to use it, month after month then it becomes meaningless to say. They are still using missiles to this day. They are still striking high value targets with these missiles to this day, Ukraine is a massive country, it would be near impossible to know and find all high value targets and hit them. I don't need to reference Russian news or whatever because I can just look at this reality and deduce.

When we invaded Iraq, we first pummeled them with Tomahawks then reduced their usage significantly, although there were still many targets I'm sure we'd still want to liquidate. The reduction of reliance on Tomahawks wasn't indicative that we were running out of them, it just meant that leaders thought other tactics are now more appropriate. Maybe because of cost, maybe because of other reasons.

But back to this scenario, using drones more than missiles =/= they are running low or out of them, that could be part of it but in reality they probably prefer to save money and deploy cheaper options that are comparably effective.

If you plan for a long war it's wise to conserve your high grade weapons stocks. It would be foolish for Russia to simply use all of their cruise missiles and be out. I don't think any modern military is that foolish in today's world.

This post was edited by ofthevoid on Dec 15 2022 01:13pm
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