December 6, 1919, the Winter Campaign of the UPR army began. On December 6, 2022, it is ongoing and will end with the Ukrainian Spring in liberated Sevastopol, Donetsk and Luhansk. The Ukrainian winter is a key stage of the Great War for Independence. Happy 🇺🇦
AFU Day!, says Oleksiy Danilov, Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine on Twitter

A year later Ukrainian People Republic ceased to exist and was divided by Poland and RSFSR (future Russian Federation).

This post was edited by Norlander on Dec 7 2022 08:07pm

Would still be over 700 pages. Nah, I'm too lazy for that.

The prediction I had was that Russia could and would target civilian infrastructure with a mass airstrike/bombing campaign and destroy all the electric, gas, water, etc utilities. Folks on PARD kept claiming Russia had run out of missiles and was toothless and yet here we are. Maybe by spring all that will be left is a bunch of corpsicles thawing in the rubble

Putlin deploying 150 000 "fresh" soldiers. What you think ? Will be a success this time ? It's freezing outside.

"IF" anything was to happen, it would happen after the remaining 150.000 are deployed. Even then, it isn't certain that it will be some big movements.

Putin held a speech, saying the war in Ukraine is gonna go on for a long time, which hints at a long war of attrition with small movements rather than large. There is also strange movement in south of Belarus, which could escalate if it grows- still can't tell if it is defensive, offensive or misdirection. Really nobody knows what is going on, and what is gonna happen. It is all pure speculation, even Kremlin refuses to outline the real objectives. On the one hand they are making deals (grain, ammonia etc), on the other hand they mobilized 300k. If we gonna see big moves in 2023 I would argue that the Russians need another wave of mobilization 1st quarter of 2023.

The only "somewhat" confident position I have is that there isn't gonna be any peace-deal short&mid term. (freezing conflict doesn't count as peace-deal). There is some hints towards "freezing conflict", due to the massive line of fortification stretching from Kursk to Donetsk.

This post was edited by ownyaah on Dec 8 2022 07:33am

They have to sleep somewhere, at strike range.

what does that even mean? I am talking about the things that are happening and what might develop, wtf are you talking about?

This post was edited by ownyaah on Dec 8 2022 07:44am

Just got 10% discount on peat toilets, woohoo. Whatever it means. For those obsessed with cow dungs and how we shit here in cold spooky suka blyat Russia.



PS: the handle drives a hurdy-gurdy hidden inside to amuse a busy person cauz we don't have smartphones and internet. Cheers.

This post was edited by Norlander on Dec 8 2022 07:57am

If they hide well behind frontlines they are safe, but useless.
This leave only few possibilities:

- Doing militia/police in occupied territories, searching for resistance/spies, stealing/racketting/torturing civilians ==> the dream job... SAD
- Defending position nar frontlines or in occupied territories ==> exposed to Ukrainian shelling *ambiance*
- Ordered to attack, still in winter ==> cannon food, holidays on ice.