War news roundup

Russian advancements have mostly stalled in the last 3 days, mostly due to the Russians trying to replenish and resupply their combat power

Despite this, it appears that a pincer movement on Ukrainian forces in Donbas is starting to shape up, with Russian forces moving South East from the captured city of Izyum. If Ukrainian forces in the South East allow themselves to be surrounded, it would be a significant loss for their army - their best units are in Donbas, they are the most battle hardened and skilled fighters they have. They may have to retreat to Zaporizhzhia or Dnipro to prevent themselves being trapped

Limited gains for the Russians on the Eastern outskirts of Mariupol have also been observed. The vast majority of the city still remains under Ukrainian control

No change in North West Kyiv. Russians still control Bucha and 1/3 of Irpin. Heavy fighting is happening there on a daily basis but no breakthroughs yet

Around 2,100 Armenian soldiers from the Karabakh region are reportedly going to be sent to Ukraine to join/support Russian forces. The units involved are apparently artillery units, SOF and ATGM crews. Most of these guys have military expertise from the 2020 Karabakh war. Will help replenish Russian units that have reduced combat power to a greater extent than poorly trained Syrian fighters with a language barrier

it's really unfortunate. the UK was in a position to do the right thing for once, not supply the US with fake intel, and oppose their war-mongering - but they chose to remain america's little lapdog, do whatever washington wants, and send british kids to die for the profit of big oil and the "defence" industry.
don't expect that to change post brexit, now that they are even more dependent on the goodwill of the US, having to accept basically everything america dictates.

There was nothing the U.S. could have done at the start of the war in Yemen to prevent it. What did you expect, that the U.S. aggressively positions itself against SA from the get go? Doing that would have risked a century old alliance, diminished U.S. influence in the Middle East and undermined their influence on the informal leader and most important singular member of OPEC (an org whose decisions have outsized influence on the domestic and global economy).

Also, it's not like Saudi Arabia would have been unable to buy the weapons for this war from someone else. This war would still have happened without U.S. arms sales to SA...




Here's a good breakdown of the U.S. position on the war in Yemen from one of the world's most reputable think tanks:
https://carnegieendowment.org/sada/84326

- in the beginning, Obama and Congress approved arms sales, operational support and also embraced the Saudi narrative on the war
- over time, their stance grew sour, by the end of his term, Obama suspended an arms sale
- Trump reapproved this arms sale and started a rapproachement with Saudi Arabia (which further down the line led to historical peace treaties between Isreal, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and others)
- during Trump's presidency, his stance on the war became more tacit, he tried to rein in the Saudis' worst impulses, for example he called on them to lift a sea blockade of Yemen and directed U.S. intelligence to assist in avoiding civil casualties as much as possible. (To be fair though, this might have been due to mounting pressure at home, rather than a genuine change of heart by Trump.)
- in 2019, bipartisan legislation passed Congress (initiated by Senate Republicans!) calling for an end to the war
- in 2021, Biden declared an end to U.S. support for offensive operations, including arms sales

As the author of that article concludes:




So, the U.S. unequivocally sided with the Saudis for less than 2 of the 7 years that this war has been going on, have gradually shifted away from their pro-Saudi position toward a more neutral role and have indeed only been supporting the war with varying degrees of reluctance during the time in between. The way I characterized it in my previous post is surely not perfect, but all in all seems rather fair and accurate.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Mar 14 2022 07:24pm

Today, there were news that Armenia and Azerbaijan have agreed to peace talks. It seems as if their Russian overlords have directed the Armenian government to accept the losses in the Karabakh region in order to free up military resources for the war effort in Ukraine. Coupled with bringing in Syrians, Iranians and begging the Chinese for support, this doesn't paint a flattering picture of the Russian military. They are still clearly winning this war as long as the West doesn't intervene, don't get me wrong, but doing so seems to bring the Russian military to the brink of its capabilities.

If this is the best the Russians can do, they wouldn't even have the strength (in terms of conventional forces) to invade Poland (much more well-equipped and modern military than Ukraine), let alone the rest of Europe.



Russia seems like a schoolyard bully who always looked strong while picking on dudes one third his size and now struggles to subdue a guy who's "just" half his size and had been taking self-defense classes for 3 weeks.

Meanwhile, in Germany:

An 18-year old girl who had fled from Ukraine was raped in a facility for Ukrainian refugees by two "fellow" ""refugees"" of Nigerian and Iraqi descent who possess an Ukrainian passport. The police is investigating the crime and also how the two suspects obtained these passports.

can't find this over the internet.

very difficult to google this as there are so many refugee rapes in germany. literally pages full of this.

what is going on in germanistan? why are so many muslims refugee raping the local women and girls? could it be their "culture"?

https://m.bild.de/regional/duesseldorf/duesseldorf-aktuell/duesseldorf-ukrainerin-18-von-zwei-weiteren-fluechtlingen-vergewaltigt-79453682.bildMobile.html
https://nachrichtend.com/duesseldorf-zwei-weitere-fluechtlinge-haben-eine-18-jaehrige-ukrainerin-vergewaltigt-lokalisiert/

Couldn't find English sources on it yet. Maybe throw these articles into google translate.

thank you.

here's a story from several years ago when merkel started enriching germany into germanistan.

someone's daughter (an acquaintance) was visiting München.
she said she was afraid to go out in broad daylight unaccompanied because there were literal hordes of "refugees" stalking women on the street.
this daughter was at that time 15, good looking for a teenager, had nothing to do with politics, wasn't a "neo nazi", etc.

years later and the rapes continue in germanistan, "refugees" can't stop raping.

Hey, like they say over at the GOP, if you can't avoid it, lay back and just enjoy it.