Quote (Black XistenZ @ Nov 12 2022 06:09pm)
Claims that Ukraine would be able to advance on the eastern bank of the Dnipro river are just bluster, that's completely unrealistic for now. A land-based offense from Zap toward Melitopol sounds more feasible, but comes with the risk of getting caught with a pincer movement and possibly even fully encircled.
And there is of course the big question mark of how lasting and devastating the damage from the Russian attacks on Ukraine's electricity and heating grid will be. At the current rate, Ukraine's civilian population might well "run out of steam" before its military.
We will see, Russia has stopped hitting critical infrastructure for weeks now, so the reports about Russian missile reserves dwindling might be coming true, whether more mass attacks are on the agenda remains to be seen. (Where did Goomshill with his never-ending missile barrages from Russia go btw?)
Just in August there were 2 more theatres to worry about with Russia proclaiming that these parts will forever be part of Russia, and likelihood of Ukraine successfully retaking entire Kharkiv region/city of Kherson
both before end of fall was an outsider bet to say the least. Ukrainians will be far better equipped to deal with the winter on the ground. And there's still a good month of semi-alright weather to go so we might still witness another shift prior to winter freezing the advance of any kind from either side.
This post was edited by Palasan on Nov 12 2022 06:14pm