Quote (TheOnlyDenny @ Mar 12 2022 10:17pm)
Yeah, the question remains however. We may find it unlikely even now, but just assuming Putin was gonna reach for the NATO members around the Baltic states, do you think there'd actually be a world war for the defense of Lithuania and Latvia?
If Russia invaded any Nato State (Latvia is Nato as is Lithuania ), all Nato members are obliged (and would) respond. They would have no choice both from treaty and situation, to declare war on Russia. Its the same as when Ukraine wanted to join Nato, Russia had no choice but to invade.
Putin would only reach/stretch/invade to a Nato country if the war in Ukraine went so bad that he felt no option but to invade. I have not read anything about Latvia or Lithuania recently as to what they are doing to support Ukraine's war effort. I have read about the mig's and airfiends in Poland however. unless i am missing something it would be Poland as a better example of the 1st Nato country to be invaded (from Putin's standpoint) on the basis it is deemed an enemy combatant already?
if the west keeps poking (read: escalation such as launching attacks from nato countries / providing advanced weaponry etc and staging area from nato country) the "unlikely" will probably get closer and closer.
also agree from a conventional standpoint Russia has no chance vs Nato, therein lies the connundrum.
This post was edited by ferdia on Mar 12 2022 05:53pm