Russia / Ukraine - Topic

Russia has already responded with the mobilization wave, expect even more waves to come if need be. The new forces which is like 2x the previous haven't even hit the frontlines yet, they are still training and frontlines will be saturated in like 4weeks? Another thing many have been ignoring is the fact that russia has formed a cohesive leadership for the partial mobilization of the economy as well, it means that russians are amping up production hard, which isn't something you do if the war is gonna be temporary (it takes many months to reorganize and increase production lines).

Basically the time frame for ukranian offensives is like 4-6 weeks at most. I wouldn't predict more than a few weeks at a time, it is delusional.

The reality is that Ukraine has a blank cheque (for now) and therefore will continue to be supported. no amount of fresh new russian troops will change that and if anything it will mean that ukraine will get more and more toys to play with. therefore, it is fairly safe to outline that the war will escalate over the next 12 months, in my opinion.

This post was edited by ferdia on Oct 26 2022 08:29am

Meanwhile

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#15215

Oct 26 2022 10:11am

Ukraine has only few weeks to get the maximum of territories back, after that it will be heavy rains (already started a bit i think), winter, and larger amount of "defensive" russians soldiers-meat (if no massive mutinies happen).

HeLiCaL

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#15216

Oct 26 2022 12:45pm

Lvivz

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#15217

Oct 26 2022 02:01pm

Quote (HeLiCaL @ Oct 26 2022 09:45pm)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4H-yMmNh5Cs

Beautiful song, brought tears to my eyes

Makes Russians seethe with rage all the time to the point their poopers explode :rofl:

This post was edited by Lvivz on Oct 26 2022 02:12pm

Meanwhile

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#15218

Oct 26 2022 02:14pm

Quote (Lvivz @ 26 Oct 2022 22:01)

Beautiful song, brought tears to my eyes

Makes Russians seethe with rage all the time to the point their poopers explode :rofl:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=egKN3vgsphs

Damn these nazis are everywhere !!

I feel stupid like FUCK now :rolleyes:

Lvivz

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#15219

Oct 26 2022 02:20pm

Quote (Meanwhile @ Oct 26 2022 11:14pm)

Damn these nazis are everywhere !! :o
I feel stupid like FUCK now :rolleyes:

its kinda like some Azov guys who put on bunch of nazi medals and started heiling each other at Azovstal after seeing some of propaganda from Kremlin

or here cosplaying ww2 nazi batallions :rofl:

I wonder how many idiots take stuff out of context parody seriously that is fed to them by hosts such as that

RedFromWinter

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#15220

Oct 26 2022 04:35pm

Quote (ferdia @ Oct 26 2022 08:20am)

The running narrative, which I agree with, is that Ukraine will retake everything it has lost by the end of the year, and that they will move on Crimea next year. This is not the first time I have said this. If Ukraine moves on Crimea that would in my mind induce a response from Russia, and therefore next year we can expect the war to escalate. While there was talk some years ago *2017* (with video interview with Ukrainian military advisor - previously posted in this thread) where Ukraine envisaged stop starts over a number of years , which you have alluded to here, I would say that we are still a bit away from a cessation of hostilities, or a pause, and would go so far to say that things are continuing to ramp up with no sign of a lul.

All that we are seeing here is Ukraine doing well and Russia on the back foot. Russia will respond and we will enter a new chapter of this war.

I'd like to believe this, but how does Ukraine do that with their numbers? They had net population of about 40MIL when this started, Russia about 3x at 150MIL and willing to mobilize near 1.2MIL. Even if Ukraine has great successes , attrition of boots on the ground will add up. Then who is left to operate the NATO/Western tech being sent in?

Maybe someone has a better handle on the numbers?

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