Quote (Black XistenZ @ Oct 19 2022 07:54pm)
Kherson was captured during the first week of the war; the vast majority of those who fled to Europe did so before the arrival of the Russian troops in their respective place.
Also, like you said, a lot of people are old or really attached to their homes and therefore reluctant to flee - these types had no real reason to try until recently because there was no active fighting in or around Kherson. So the fact that they didn't leave in prior months imho doesn't necessarily imply that they always had the chance to, nor does it rule out the possibility that the Russian occupiers started prohibiting it recently.
You could be right after all, but we don't have definitive proof in either direction and I, personally, remain very sceptical.
Russia announced martial law today so i'm assuming movement in those regions is restricted now to some extent. I'm also thinking movement in active war zones, especially at the front is restricted for security reasons and that's on both sides. I've heard both Ukrainians and Russians vetting civilians, which makes sense in time of war because there's spies, you also don't want civilians getting in the way or compromising operations.
But I try to once again apply some common sense to this. You can't force millions of civilians nowadays to go somewhere against their will. It's just too big of a task and really what's the point? What's the point for Russia to forcefully ship people to Russia. More mouths to feed, more housing, more social services, more healthcare needs in a country that I'm sure life is hard as it is. If those people don't want to be there you wont keep them there for long, just too much effort for no gain really.
I watched a short documentary awhile back, after Mariupol was taken. Russia moved a bunch of those people to various regions in Russia. This one lady and her daughter basically wanted to go west as she had some family in Europe. She basically had Russian civilian volunteers helping her get paperwork together to get into Lithuania and the guy literally id'd himself on camera and was talking openly about it, which tells me really that Russia isn't cracking down on those people wanting to go to different places. He said he's helped dozens of people do this already.
So is Russia restricting people in Kherson to going to an active front (there was large scale battles in Kherson direction today) to try to cross into Ukrainian held territory? Probably yeah, at least i'd think so now but like I said, i'm almost certain that many people in both currently held Russian and Ukrainian territories had more than one chance to go in which ever direction.