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Dec 6 2019 03:50pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Dec 6 2019 03:48pm)
Imho, Trump resonated with voters not just because of his abrasive style, but also because of his policy positions. The deeper message behind his "I will fix it"-rhetoric was the promise of a true policy realignment on immigration and free trade/globalization. This message will work just as well in 2020 as it did in 2016.

Focusing on his lackluster track record and contrasting his dealmaker image with proof for him actually being ineffectual is the way to attack him. Focusing on personal attacks (racist, sexist, morally bankrupt, unfit for office) would fail again.

And as I said, I think that the Dems need to offer at least some positive vision, some motivating policy to their voters. Doesnt have to be huge, sweeping change in the mold of Warren/Bernie, but they need to offer at least something.


Trump's message was that MS13 rapists were coming in, china is raping us on trade, no one else pays their fair share, etc.

he offered the opposite of a positive vision imo. it was just calling out problems with no actual plans to fix them, just vague promises. his only concrete platform pieces were "i'll undo X, Y, and Z obama era executive orders, and build a wall".
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Dec 6 2019 03:54pm
No. You're all close but haven't hit the target yet. THIS was Trump's message... subliminally. THIS is why he won.











/e I'm gonna do this and this and this and drain the swamp.







There's no need to fear! Underdog is here!
When criminals in this world appear
And break the laws that they should fear
And frighten all who see or hear
The cry goes up both far and near
For Underdog! Underdog! Underdog! Underdog!

Speed of lightning, roar of thunder
Fighting all who rob or plunder
Underdog. Underdog!

When in this world the headlines read
Of those whose hearts are filled with greed
Who rob and steal from those who need
To right this wrong with blinding speed
Goes Underdog! Underdog! Underdog! Underdog!

Speed of lightning, roar of thunder
Fighting all who rob or plunder
Underdog. Underdog!






/ee I'm not joking at all. This was Trump's subliminal message. And the "people" who we're fed up with all the bullshyt... heard it.

This post was edited by Ghot on Dec 6 2019 04:06pm
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Dec 6 2019 03:56pm
Quote (thesnipa @ 6 Dec 2019 22:50)
Trump's message was that MS13 rapists were coming in, china is raping us on trade, no one else pays their fair share, etc.

he offered the opposite of a positive vision imo. it was just calling out problems with no actual plans to fix them, just vague promises. his only concrete platform pieces were "i'll undo X, Y, and Z obama era executive orders, and build a wall".


He was describing the status quo in negative terms, and directly or indirectly promised a big course correction/policy realignment. For his supporters, this meant that he saw things like they did, and to them, this promised course correction on immigration and free trade was a positive vision!

But yeah, pointing out that he has no actual clue on how to fulfill these campaign promises imho is a much more promising angle of attack for Democrats than focusing on personal attacks.

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Dec 6 2019 03:58pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Dec 6 2019 03:56pm)
He was describing the status quo in negative terms, and directly or indirectly promised a big course correction/policy realignment. For his supporters, this meant that he saw things like they did, and to them, this promised course correction on immigration and free trade was a positive vision!

But yeah, pointing out that he has no actual clue on how to fulfill these campaign promises imho is a much more promising angle of attack for Democrats than focusing on personal attacks.


the status quo is Trump, and the dems hate Trump. the dem voters want a return to normalcy, and they're ultimately fine with high tax bernie or center aisle Biden, as long as it isnt trump. thats why i say bland. just be not trump and they'll vote for you.
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Dec 6 2019 04:05pm
Quote (thesnipa @ Dec 6 2019 04:50pm)
Trump's message was that MS13 rapists were coming in, china is raping us on trade, no one else pays their fair share, etc.

he offered the opposite of a positive vision imo. it was just calling out problems with no actual plans to fix them, just vague promises. his only concrete platform pieces were "i'll undo X, Y, and Z obama era executive orders, and build a wall".

although he didn't have much for a plan going in. plans have come out and/or been in motion.

border-security (as goom brought up the other day)- the 4 pillar plan
https://www.rpc.senate.gov/policy-papers/four-pillars-the-trump-administration-immigration-plan

others paying fair share- trump has avidly been fighting for countires in NATO to pay the agreed 2% gdp on military

china- do i really have to?

anyway, just saying, you're correct saying he had no plan going in. (at least publicly) however, he has been fighting hard on the promises he ran on.
i don't think the democratic campaign slogan, -trump failed to keep promises-, will swing his base at least.
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Dec 6 2019 04:09pm
Quote (thesnipa @ Dec 6 2019 01:58pm)
the status quo is Trump, and the dems hate Trump. the dem voters want a return to normalcy, and they're ultimately fine with high tax bernie or center aisle Biden, as long as it isnt trump. thats why i say bland. just be not trump and they'll vote for you.


Because that strategy worked so well last time
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Dec 6 2019 04:10pm
Quote (thesnipa @ 6 Dec 2019 22:58)
the status quo is Trump, and the dems hate Trump. the dem voters want a return to normalcy, and they're ultimately fine with high tax bernie or center aisle Biden, as long as it isnt trump. thats why i say bland. just be not trump and they'll vote for you.


sure, but that was never the question. the question is how they can work on independents or perhaps even nevertrump republicans while simultaneously keeping their base happy.
also, enthusiasm for their own candidate and platform among their base might have a small effect on their turnout, and in a tight election, this can make all the difference.

betting that hatred for trump will carry their turnout is risky. it might well work, but I wouldnt want to rely on it. what if Trumps does what he did at the end of the 2016 race and disappears for the last 2-3 weeks of the race, working on his own base and turnout without making further divise public statements? given the stakes, I would throw my base at least one bone if I were a Democratic strategist.

if say Biden runs an "I wont rock the boat too much and bring a return to normalcy"-campaign, the progressive activists would still turn out this time because they are so motivated by their desire to get Trump out of the WH. but what about poor black voters or disengaged whites and hispanics who dont follow politics all that much? the activist class will turn out this time, no matter what, that's true. but a lacklustre minority turnout could still spell doom for democrats, and I wouldnt take their turnout for granted.

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Dec 6 2019 04:10pm
Well, obviously we need the version with all the subliminal graphics. I especially like what happens to big corporate in the 3rd verse.....














/e tl;dr version: The people wanted a drastic change, cause the normal BS wasn't working anymore.

This post was edited by Ghot on Dec 6 2019 04:13pm
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Dec 6 2019 04:12pm
Quote (tagged4nothing @ Dec 6 2019 04:05pm)
although he didn't have much for a plan going in. plans have come out and/or been in motion.

border-security (as goom brought up the other day)- the 4 pillar plan
https://www.rpc.senate.gov/policy-papers/four-pillars-the-trump-administration-immigration-plan

others paying fair share- trump has avidly been fighting for countires in NATO to pay the agreed 2% gdp on military

china- do i really have to?

anyway, just saying, you're correct saying he had no plan going in. (at least publicly) however, he has been fighting hard on the promises he ran on.
i don't think the democratic campaign slogan, -trump failed to keep promises-, will swing his base at least.


yeah im really talking about campaign strategy. anyone promising to rollback trump era policy would need to deliver, as well as some kind of healthcare plan.

his plans, while many have been ineffectual or shifts from campaign promises, have been somewhat delivered upon.

but we still have no wall, obamacare still exists, no china deal, no middle eastern deal, and NATO is enact, HRC free as a bird, etc.

Quote (proccy @ Dec 6 2019 04:09pm)
Because that strategy worked so well last time


trump wasnt the status quo last time.

Quote (Black XistenZ @ Dec 6 2019 04:10pm)
sure, but that was never the question. the question is how they can work on independents or perhaps even nevertrump republicans while simultaneously keeping their base happy.
also, enthusiasm for their own candidate and platform among their base might have a small effect on their turnout, and in a tight election, this can make all the difference.

betting that hatred for trump will carry their turnout is risky. it might well work, but I wouldnt want to rely on it. what if Trumps does what he did at the end of the 2016 race and disappears for the last 2-3 weeks of the race, working on his own base and turnout without making further divise public statements? given the stakes, I would throw my base at least one bone if I were a Democratic strategist.

if say Biden runs an "I wont rock the boat too much and bring a return to normalcy"-campaign, the progressive activists would still turn out this time because they are so motivated by their desire to get Trump out of the WH. but what about poor black voters or disengaged whites and hispanics who dont follow politics all that much? the activist class will turn out this time, no matter what, that's true. but a lacklustre minority turnout could still spell doom for democrats, and I wouldnt take their turnout for granted.


insulting trump well can pull moderates, imo. and im a moderate.

This post was edited by thesnipa on Dec 6 2019 04:12pm
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Dec 6 2019 04:13pm
Quote (thesnipa @ Dec 6 2019 02:12pm)

trump wasnt the status quo last time. .


Quote (thesnipa @ Dec 6 2019 01:58pm)
just be not trump and they'll vote for you.


^ is what i was referring to. best of luck to the dems, i'm anxious to see how this all plays out
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