Quote (tagged4nothing @ Dec 6 2019 04:05pm)
although he didn't have much for a plan going in. plans have come out and/or been in motion.
border-security (as goom brought up the other day)- the 4 pillar plan
https://www.rpc.senate.gov/policy-papers/four-pillars-the-trump-administration-immigration-planothers paying fair share- trump has avidly been fighting for countires in NATO to pay the agreed 2% gdp on military
china- do i really have to?
anyway, just saying, you're correct saying he had no plan going in. (at least publicly) however, he has been fighting hard on the promises he ran on.
i don't think the democratic campaign slogan, -trump failed to keep promises-, will swing his base at least.
yeah im really talking about campaign strategy. anyone promising to rollback trump era policy would need to deliver, as well as some kind of healthcare plan.
his plans, while many have been ineffectual or shifts from campaign promises, have been somewhat delivered upon.
but we still have no wall, obamacare still exists, no china deal, no middle eastern deal, and NATO is enact, HRC free as a bird, etc.
Quote (proccy @ Dec 6 2019 04:09pm)
Because that strategy worked so well last time
trump wasnt the status quo last time.
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Dec 6 2019 04:10pm)
sure, but that was never the question. the question is how they can work on independents or perhaps even nevertrump republicans while simultaneously keeping their base happy.
also, enthusiasm for their own candidate and platform among their base might have a small effect on their turnout, and in a tight election, this can make all the difference.
betting that hatred for trump will carry their turnout is risky. it might well work, but I wouldnt want to rely on it. what if Trumps does what he did at the end of the 2016 race and disappears for the last 2-3 weeks of the race, working on his own base and turnout without making further divise public statements? given the stakes, I would throw my base at least one bone if I were a Democratic strategist.
if say Biden runs an "I wont rock the boat too much and bring a return to normalcy"-campaign, the progressive activists would still turn out this time because they are so motivated by their desire to get Trump out of the WH. but what about poor black voters or disengaged whites and hispanics who dont follow politics all that much? the activist class will turn out this time, no matter what, that's true. but a lacklustre minority turnout could still spell doom for democrats, and I wouldnt take their turnout for granted.
insulting trump well can pull moderates, imo. and im a moderate.
This post was edited by thesnipa on Dec 6 2019 04:12pm