On the chips and missiles thing - We've seen nonstop claims about Russia "almost" running out of everything from missiles to chips in the missiles to artillery shells to tanks to blah blah blah. It never ends.

March: https://www.jpost.com/international/article-701534
April: https://www.ft.com/content/f81234cc-cd05-45e8-9dc0-3219b8886490
May: https://www.cityam.com/putin-could-be-running-out-of-missiles-as-kremlin-loses-momentum-in-donbas-amid-claims-quarter-of-russian-army-now-lost/
June: https://ukdefencejournal.org.uk/russia-running-out-of-precision-weapons/
July: https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1644610/Putin-news-russia-weapons-ground-missiles-air-defence-systems-ukraine-war-update
August: https://www.19fortyfive.com/2022/08/russia-has-run-out-of-long-range-missiles-to-terrorize-ukraine/
Lat month: https://eurasiantimes.com/out-of-missiles-russia-is-left-with-limited-stock-of-hypersonic-weapons/

Why should any reasonable person conclude that the line being pushed here is even slightly accurate?

A quick look at wikipedia says that Russia has companies producing chips at 65nm. and at 90nm. Both are just fine for this application. Can they not be produced domestically? Says who? Why should they be believed? What's their track record on predictions of Russian collapse thus far?

RUSI (a British think tank) put out a report on foreign inputs into Russian weapons systems: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-08/russian-weapon-systems-rely-heavily-on-foreign-tech-report-says

So all this is going on, and we have a bunch of "maybes" surrounding this stuff just in August, 6 months into the conflict, and they're still talking about adjusting policies to stem the flow? I am quite unimpressed with this level of evidence.

As to Russia "getting rekt", lets be clear about what's been happening. Ukraine is taking ground without much in the way of direct confrontation. Russia holds lines when they can inflict more casualties, which they are able to do because they fire something between 5-10 times as many artillery as Ukraine does. When they can't avoid losses or when encirclements become likely they fall back while, again, showering advancing Ukrainian forces with artillery.

During this entire counter-offensive, the only 'major' city taken by Ukraine is Lyman, a town with a pre-war population of 30,000 (estimated, it turns out Ukraine hasn't done a census since like 2012 or some shit. Busted-ass country before this war even started). Everything else is just empty fields and forests.

Now, you can crow all you want about taking back some ground, but I don't think anyone can describe this as "getting rekt." It's an embarrassing display of Russian incompetence to not ramp up conscription much earlier. It's a problem for keeping the people of the Donbass fully on side to see Russia giving up previously-held territory to SBU death squads. But "rekt"? Hardly. In terms of personnel and material losses, this strategy has been quite heavily favouring Russia. That said, I think one of those monarchist podcasters pointed out that talking about Ukrainian troops losses is just a form of cope, because Ukraine simply doesn't care about how many people they lose.

Didn't you hear that Russia is a gas station masquerading as a country and they're all too drunk on shitty vodka all the time to manage to do something so amazingly complex like produce computer chips?

Oh snap, it's almost as if Russia tried to capture, rather than destroy, Ukraine...




Sure, Western sanctions on chips definitely slow down Russia's efforts at replenishing their stocks of cruise missiles. I'm kinda with ofthevoid here though, we have no real idea by how much. What's more obvious to me is that their own domestic production can't possibly keep up with the rate of usage they had during the early months of the war, even if they had the chips.





Russia is maintaining artillery superiority because they tapped into the enormous stockpiles of Soviet-era artillery and ammunition which were stored away in some warehouses after the fall of the Iron Curtain. We're talking about simple, 50 year old technology here. These artillery systems are not very precise or effective on their own, but Russia has an almost unlimited amount of them at their disposal and can overwhelm the enemy with sheer numbers once there is a static front with short and secured supply lines. (As happened when they captured Lyssychantsk/Sieverodonetsk in early summer.)

It's possible Russia is totally reliant on imports for the circuitry in their missiles, but I've yet to see solid evidence that's the case. Nor have I seen any evidence that Russia didn't, you know, buy thousands of these chips in previous years - are we really expected to believe that Russia was producing critically necessary weapons using Just-In-Time inventory management? Again, what proof? It's possible, they've certainly fucked up many other aspects of this war imo.

When reading Western news on Official Enemies, it's not enough to have a bunch of "experts say" and "according to Ukrainian sources" and so on and to give it any credence. They've been too consistently wrong on too many things for too many months, particularly on all this sky-is-falling nonsense about running out of ammunition.

You pretty much agree with me then. They've drastically lowered their supply from usage and are having a hard time continuing production, in major part due to lack of microchips and specialized parts from the west.

Russia never had any intention of occupying and absorbing northern and western Ukraine, which is the only way that makes any sense. Everything you believe is a post-hoc rationalization to figure out a way to cast Russia in the worst possible light.

You do know that Putin isn't literally Satan, right? That Russia does things for rational reasons, even if you disagree with the presumptions underlying those reasons?


Why is that "obvious"? What's that based on? how many Kinzhals and Kalibrs does Russia produce per day?

"Obvious." "Can't possibly." Bizarre you feel that way about a seemingly totally opaque Russian supply chain of cruise missiles, but when America blows up a pipeline it's been threatening to for a decade, three days after teaching people how to explode things underwater, spitting distance from the pipelines, that's grounds for extreme doubt and denial.

Funny brain you got, there.


Says who? Provide a citation.

This post was edited by kusotarre1 on Oct 10 2022 11:17pm

it's not meanwhile it's saucisson6k, an obese french user who got humiliated months ago on pard sub and decided to have a namechange + flee pard sub for months lmao

blah blah blah blah blah blah. This is what kremlin trolls do with everything, they just start throwing out words that don’t mean anything, and act with one dimensional moral outrage against principles they don’t actually hold themselves.+ 10 rubles for you Boris, go buy tea

This post was edited by Lvivz on Oct 11 2022 01:51am

Says who? You? A low paid kremlin troll working at St.Petersburg troll company? Whose life revolts around writing pointless drivels without any citations and actual knowledge on the subject? Or insulting others on your multi account chopstickz ahaha?






Who are "they" ? Making up shit per usual.




Neither has Kremlin created St.Petersburg troll factory where you work for 10 rubles per shitpost when these events happened lol.

Anything you ever say or predict comes true or is accurate?