Quote (Impy @ Oct 4 2022 02:48pm)
That sounds more like cope tbh. The lullaby of "nothing bad will happen" is always told before shit hits the fan. Take inflation, energy crisis, insolvencies etc. same story as always.
1. No argument in case of a military loss, where govs try to save their asses.
2. See above.
3. True. This is a serious argument. May make the citizens uncomfortable and lead to riots, IF the support stops.
4. False. It would be nato that rsiks a total world nuclear holocaust over a territory grab by russia which isnt even about nato teritory to begin with. Sure they could change the doctrine/agreements of nato and let ukraine join, which would be equal to ww3 start.
5. True -> ww3 start (see Nr. 4)
6. See Nr. 4.
Tbh i dont see a single reason what my country would gain by joining the shitflinging when shits going to become serious.
You can presume it's normalcy bias all you want, and I can continue as if it's well reasoned.
1. A foreign military loss does not meet the threshold for Russian nuclear policy. The policy is to protect Russia itself, not its foreign excursions.
2. See above.
3. You agreed, so I'll leave it at that.
4. I don't care how badly you want to blame NATO, if Russia uses the first nuke, Russia is responsible for the risks of any justified retaliation. You don't just get to use nukes and pay no consequences.
5. You agreed, so I'll leave it at that.
6. Russia knows it cannot use a nuke without consequences in the modern world.
Every country in the world has a stake in Russia using nuclear weapons.