Quote (Santara @ Oct 3 2022 06:47pm)
Your word choice doesn't reflect mine. I said I don't think they will, I did not say they couldn't. At this stage, Russian mobilization is extremely behind the curve. These fresh bodies are good for nothing but stopping bullets. No training, no equipment, poor supply. It is many months before something actually useful comes from them. In the meantime, Ukraine has tactical and strategic initiative with a long-since fully mobilized and supplied military and it's now showing up on the maps. By the time the Russian mobilization becomes effective, Russia will probably hold very little of Ukraine.
If Russia nukes, they will most certainly lose the support of their remaining important supporters, like India and China. This alone could spell the end of their war efforts, and a rapid slide into DPRK style isolation.
Most of the people that are being called up are ex-military. I forgot the age brackets but it's basically sergeant and under have a 35 years age limit while officers & senior officers up to 60 forgot the limit but it's lower than 60 for junior officers. So no, they aren't just calling fresh bodies with no training, that's bullshit. Now I'm sure some of these people will need some level of training/retraining depending on needs i.e. I know there's a demand for tank operators, probably more than the current pool of vets trained so obviously some re-training is needed.
In contrast, Ukraine has been sending territorial defenses (basically civilian militias formed to defend their respective regions, which are no where near the front) to the front mixed in with actual trained soldiers. The people highlighting Russia's struggle with men somehow have complete amnesia to the fact that if you look at who the Russians have been capturing via what they've been posting on Telegram/Twitter etc, like 1/3 of those people are 40+ year old's many being part of terr-def. Point is, Ukraine also has a men problem and it's actually a lot worse.
This post was edited by ofthevoid on Oct 3 2022 05:43pm