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Sep 27 2022 03:03pm
Quote (Santara @ Sep 27 2022 11:52pm)
Even large US firms are investing heavily in China. General Motors (specifically Buick) and Apple being notable there. But China isn't experiencing the problems Russia is.

Russia's population has fallen by 3 million over the last 33 years. China's has risen like 270 million. People (especially the best and brightest) have been fleeing Russia since the collapse of the USSR. The USA doesn't need to conspire against Russia.



These are net migration numbers and destinations FOR RUSSIA.


You are a liar everyone knows that its other way around as everyone wants to live in Russia and be part of real democracy resurrection happening there.
DONT LIE!

This post was edited by Palasan on Sep 27 2022 03:04pm
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Sep 27 2022 03:19pm
Quote (Santara @ Sep 27 2022 01:52pm)
Even large US firms are investing heavily in China. General Motors (specifically Buick) and Apple being notable there. But China isn't experiencing the problems Russia is.

And so are European firms, but even now we see that precarious situation faltering as US sanctions on China are forcing the long-term destruction of core EU companies such as ASML. Once America is successful in forcing China to abandon it's attempts at peaceful reunification of Taiwan and resorting to a blockade, compliant EU leaders will, just like with the successful US provocations in Ukraine, fall in line and impose a suicidal sanctions regime against China, just as they did with Russia.

Quote (Santara @ Sep 27 2022 01:52pm)
Russia's population has fallen by 3 million over the last 33 years. China's has risen like 270 million. People (especially the best and brightest) have been fleeing Russia since the collapse of the USSR. The USA doesn't need to conspire against Russia.

They're different situations. Russia is important because it supplies the EU with energy that the EU cannot easily or cheaply enough replace. Recently, Scholz met with the UAE trying to get more LNG shipments and was able to get only a single tanker shipment, for example. Everyone has a projection about when the crisis will hit, this year or next, but the fact is it's already hitting now. EU companies are demanding action on the energy crisis already, and in response the leaders of their countries are standing around doing nothing as the USA bombs infrastructure that can save the EU economy. It doesn't ultimately matter if Russia is having a net loss of people. Gas fields cannot migrate, titanium and aluminum smelters won't be allowed to migrate.

China is both an exporter of goods to the EU (good luck rectifying *that* supply chain) and an enormous market for the EU to expand into (good luck replacing that market, which is for example Volkswagen', Mercedes' and BMW's biggest market, among many others). The damage caused when the US cucks the EU into sanctions on China will be much, much worse and much more immediate than the Russia sanctions have been.
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Sep 27 2022 03:37pm
Quote (kusotarre1 @ Sep 27 2022 04:19pm)
And so are European firms, but even now we see that precarious situation faltering as US sanctions on China are forcing the long-term destruction of core EU companies such as ASML. Once America is successful in forcing China to abandon it's attempts at peaceful reunification of Taiwan and resorting to a blockade, compliant EU leaders will, just like with the successful US provocations in Ukraine, fall in line and impose a suicidal sanctions regime against China, just as they did with Russia.


They're different situations. Russia is important because it supplies the EU with energy that the EU cannot easily or cheaply enough replace. Recently, Scholz met with the UAE trying to get more LNG shipments and was able to get only a single tanker shipment, for example. Everyone has a projection about when the crisis will hit, this year or next, but the fact is it's already hitting now. EU companies are demanding action on the energy crisis already, and in response the leaders of their countries are standing around doing nothing as the USA bombs infrastructure that can save the EU economy. It doesn't ultimately matter if Russia is having a net loss of people. Gas fields cannot migrate, titanium and aluminum smelters won't be allowed to migrate.

China is both an exporter of goods to the EU (good luck rectifying *that* supply chain) and an enormous market for the EU to expand into (good luck replacing that market, which is for example Volkswagen', Mercedes' and BMW's biggest market, among many others). The damage caused when the US cucks the EU into sanctions on China will be much, much worse and much more immediate than the Russia sanctions have been.


Just because China wants "reunification" with Taiwan doesn't mean Taiwan wants it, and it doesn't take the US being a hegemon to see that "reunification" with China is absolutely NOT in Taiwan's best interests. I mean really, does the 6th freest country in the world wish to be governed by the 158th freest country?
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Sep 27 2022 03:41pm
Quote (Santara @ Sep 28 2022 12:37am)
Just because China wants "reunification" with Taiwan doesn't mean Taiwan wants it, and it doesn't take the US being a hegemon to see that "reunification" with China is absolutely NOT in Taiwan's best interests. I mean really, does the 6th freest country in the world wish to be governed by the 158th freest country?


Thats a damn lie, China has the most freedom in the world. You have been manipulated by NATO masters.
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Sep 27 2022 03:48pm
Quote (Santara @ Sep 27 2022 02:37pm)
Just because China wants "reunification" with Taiwan doesn't mean Taiwan wants it, and it doesn't take the US being a hegemon to see that "reunification" with China is absolutely NOT in Taiwan's best interests. I mean really, does the 6th freest country in the world wish to be governed by the 158th freest country?

Who cares, we're talking about the damage to the EU and the American goals of damaging the EU for it's own benefit.

Being morally right is something Americans get to do because it doesn't affect them when Europeans are made unemployed and hungry. Unfortunately for Europeans, their leaders think in exactly the same way. Scholz or Baerbock or Truss will happily throw millions of their people into poverty because they'll be just fine getting some job at the Atlantic Council or HRW or something.
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Sep 27 2022 03:52pm
Its obvious that Taiwanese people want a referendum and unite with China, but Taiwanese Nazi regime and NATO Masters are killing those who speak out and are telling the truth
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Sep 27 2022 04:15pm
So whats our endgame picture now?

Russia is finally doing what I was anticipating before the war, solidifying their hold on areas and annexing land instead of trying to storm deeper into Ukraine. We're coming up on winter and the US and EU economies are in recession with an energy crisis, while Russia is mobilizing a larger military force. There is no realistic support for backing Ukraine in trying to attack into the Russian held separatist regions, and Russia still holds all the potential for escalation in response. Much of west Ukraine has been almost entirely untouched by the conflict and has a green light to join the EU, but the EU is scrambling to figure out how they won't freeze when it starts snowing.

So what comes next?
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Sep 27 2022 04:15pm
What both of you are trying to do is turn this into a moralistic argument because the fundamental material aspects of this gambit are becoming increasingly clear, even to normies.

Example: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Natural-Gas/Europe-Faces-An-Exodus-Of-Energy-Intensive-Industries.html
Quote
Soaring energy costs in Europe are shutting down businesses and threatening a bloc-wide recession. Yet not everyone accepts this fate. Some companies are moving to cheaper locations: the U.S. Steel giant ArcelorMittal said earlier this month that it would slash by half production at a steel mill in Germany and a unit at another plant, also in Germany. The company said it had based the decision on high gas prices.

Separately, ArcelorMittal more recently warned it expected its steel output for the fourth quarter of the year to be 1.5 million tons lower than it was in the final quarter of 2023, again citing excessive prices along with slumping demand.

At the same time, ArcelorMittal earlier this year announced it had plans to expand a Texas operation, describing the state as a “region that offers highly competitive energy and, ultimately, competitive hydrogen.” It is just one of the Europe-based companies that are beginning to see the benefits of growing in the United States, according to a report by the Wall Street Journal’s David Uberti.


Quote
Plans are to collect some 140 billion euros—almost equal to the same sum in dollars—to distribute among households and struggling businesses. Critics, however, note that this will not be enough to save companies from going under. European Aluminium, the industry association, even said energy costs could result in the breakdown of the aluminum industry in Europe.


Or this: https://www.irishexaminer.com/business/economy/arid-40968869.html

Quote
Europe’s industrial giants have fretted for months that gas shortages this winter will cripple production. But even with fuel available, companies are discovering they can’t afford it.

“It’s not about shutdowns. It’s pricing, it’s cost,” said Christian Levin, chief executive officer of Traton, the truckmaking unit of Volkswagen.

Europe is paying seven times as much for gas as the US, underscoring a dramatic erosion of the continent’s industrial competitiveness that threatens to cause lasting damage to its economy.


Quote
Plastics maker Covestro won’t make growth investments in Europe if the crisis persists and instead look to Asia, where Chief Executive Officer Markus Steilemann said the company can secure energy at prices 20 times cheaper than in the German and European spot market. Volkswagen, Europe’s biggest carmaker, warned last week that it could reallocate production out of Germany and eastern Europe if energy prices don’t come down.


Quote
“Our companies can no longer cope with any further burdens,” said Wolfgang Grosse Entrup, President of the chemical association VCI, an organization that represents the likes of BASF and Evonik Industries AG, key suppliers to Germany’s carmaking sector. “The situation is becoming more and more drastic.”


Or this (machine translation): https://www.handelsblatt.com/technik/it-internet/wirtschaftspolitik-immer-mehr-deutsche-firmen-bauen-ihre-standorte-in-den-usa-aus/28697464.html

Quote
In the course of the Ukraine war and the energy crisis in Germany , the USA intensified their courtship for German companies. In addition to cheap energy, numerous US states also offer tax breaks and other aids. This is especially true for the southern states.


Given that we're witnessing the exodus of major European industries from the EU, given that we're seeing the US nearly-openly engage in the physical destruction of joint German-RF infrastructure projects that could mitigate this, of course apologists for this behaviour must shift away from the material and towards talking about fake things no one cares about like 'democracy'.
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Sep 27 2022 04:39pm
Quote (kusotarre1 @ Sep 27 2022 04:48pm)
Who cares, we're talking about the damage to the EU and the American goals of damaging the EU for it's own benefit.

Being morally right is something Americans get to do because it doesn't affect them when Europeans are made unemployed and hungry. Unfortunately for Europeans, their leaders think in exactly the same way. Scholz or Baerbock or Truss will happily throw millions of their people into poverty because they'll be just fine getting some job at the Atlantic Council or HRW or something.


I think you're being hyperbolic here. Saying the US is deliberately harming their biggest trading partner for some small gains isn't a reasoned take. It may be a consequence of actions taken, but not deliberate, and Europe gets to make their own choices.
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Sep 27 2022 04:39pm
Quote (kusotarre1 @ Sep 28 2022 01:15am)
What both of you are trying to do is turn this into a moralistic argument because the fundamental material aspects of this gambit are becoming increasingly clear, even to normies.

Example: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Natural-Gas/Europe-Faces-An-Exodus-Of-Energy-Intensive-Industries.html




Or this: https://www.irishexaminer.com/business/economy/arid-40968869.html







Or this (machine translation): https://www.handelsblatt.com/technik/it-internet/wirtschaftspolitik-immer-mehr-deutsche-firmen-bauen-ihre-standorte-in-den-usa-aus/28697464.html



Given that we're witnessing the exodus of major European industries from the EU, given that we're seeing the US nearly-openly engage in the physical destruction of joint German-RF infrastructure projects that could mitigate this, of course apologists for this behaviour must shift away from the material and towards talking about fake things no one cares about like 'democracy'.


Very true democracy must be banned, I don't see why it even exists or what someone is trying to achieve in holding elections and stuff.
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