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Sep 27 2022 01:59pm
Quote (thesnipa @ Sep 27 2022 01:26pm)
a consistent inability to recognize blame on the current situation lies with Russia. generally the lack of recognition that the invasion was wrong and unjustified, even if it's in response to unjustified actions by NATO in overthrowing the pro-Russian govt in Ukraine previously. the narrative that russian invasion was a constant, and therefore only the actions of people who refused to recognize this as a constant can be at fault.


Makes sense, thank you.

Quote (thesnipa @ Sep 27 2022 01:36pm)
how many people died in the coup of Ukraine by the US and it's allies?

and how many people have died in the Russian/Ukranian war thusfar?


Would it be reasonable to consider and compare scenarios in which the west's posture (support/funding/sanctions) was different?

My question really is, how many more/fewer people have died due to the west's subsequent aggressions and where do we draw the line to assign the amount of guilt due to Russia's unjustified aggression (invasion).
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Sep 27 2022 02:04pm
Quote (kusotarre1 @ Sep 27 2022 02:46pm)
America is selling it's LNG for record profits. The EU can't get enough? Who cares, VW is welcome to open a new plant in Pennsylvania or something.

America is harvesting value from the EU, now. They're selling the EU overpriced gas that makes their industries noncompetitive while creating a legal framework that forces the migration of those industries West instead of East.


Why would any industry WANT to migrate east? Russia has been undergoing a serious brain drain for far longer than the Ukrainian crisis.

Turns out, when you stop keeping people inside your borders with thinly veiled threats of violence, they... leave.
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Sep 27 2022 02:08pm
Quote (babun1024 @ 27 Sep 2022 09:42)
Only Jamal pipeline was left intact which goes through Ukraine and Poland.
I don't think the US were doing such an obvious ill timed attacks. It was Russia itself or Ukraine/Poland+ Baltic countries.

That's a possibility, although I think it's very unlikely. Ukraine doing that would be a stab in the back of the allies on whose support their continued existence as a free and independent nation depends. If Ukraine got caught red-handed sabotaging these pipelines, they could basically start building the Putin statues on maidan square...

----

Poland & the Baltics makes more sense since they have much less to lose if they take such a risk, but even then, the timing doesn't pan out. It's highly unlikely that public upheaval forces European governments to drop their support for Ukraine altogether and resume trade with Russia as if nothing happened. The governments in France and Germany were elected less than a year ago and don't have to face voters for a long time. And even in Italy, the big winner within the triumphant right-wing alliance was Meloni, who has publicly declared her support for Ukraine and her faithfulness to NATO, while her Russia-friendly partners Salvini and Berlusconi finished below expectations and essentially limp into the forthcoming government.

So all in all, it will take at least 3 months if not more before the (imho very unlikely) scenario of the European public turning fully on this war has any chance of materializing. If Poland & the Baltics wanted to preemptively sabotage a rapprochement with Russia, they should render the Nord Stream pipelines unusable closer to the tipping point, not 3++ months in advance when there's enough time to repair them.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Sep 27 2022 02:09pm
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Sep 27 2022 02:16pm
Quote (Santara @ Sep 27 2022 02:04pm)
Why would any industry WANT to migrate east? Russia has been undergoing a serious brain drain for far longer than the Ukrainian crisis.

Turns out, when you stop keeping people inside your borders with thinly veiled threats of violence, they... leave.


Lol and you're still living in the 1990's on top of everything else :rofl:

Get. A. Fucking. Grip
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Sep 27 2022 02:20pm
Quote (Santara @ Sep 27 2022 01:04pm)
Why would any industry WANT to migrate east? Russia has been undergoing a serious brain drain for far longer than the Ukrainian crisis.

Turns out, when you stop keeping people inside your borders with thinly veiled threats of violence, they... leave.

China, the biggest market in the world and the most quickly growing middle class in the world.

Obv we talk about Russia in this thread, but there is a simultaneous push by the US to force Europe to decouple from China, including a pretty similar playbook to Ukraine through the destruction of the One China Policy and forcing a new and final Taiwan crisis.
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Sep 27 2022 02:22pm
Bom bom bom BOM
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Sep 27 2022 02:35pm
Quote (chopstickz777 @ Sep 27 2022 03:16pm)
Lol and you're still living in the 1990's on top of everything else :rofl:

Get. A. Fucking. Grip


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Sep 27 2022 02:46pm
Quote (Santara @ 27 Sep 2022 22:35)


This chart is confusing me tbh. The USA and the Western European countries have high levels of net immigration, i.e. higher numbers of immigration than emigration, but the chart shows it the other way round. And what is "citation class" supposed to mean? Are they talking about education level? Also, the chart doesn't include Russia at all, so how is it a counter to his argument? Don't get me wrong, you're absolutely in the right here, but unless I'm missing something, this chart does nothing to support your point.
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Sep 27 2022 02:52pm
Quote (kusotarre1 @ Sep 27 2022 03:20pm)
China, the biggest market in the world and the most quickly growing middle class in the world.

Obv we talk about Russia in this thread, but there is a simultaneous push by the US to force Europe to decouple from China, including a pretty similar playbook to Ukraine through the destruction of the One China Policy and forcing a new and final Taiwan crisis.


Even large US firms are investing heavily in China. General Motors (specifically Buick) and Apple being notable there. But China isn't experiencing the problems Russia is.

Russia's population has fallen by 3 million over the last 33 years. China's has risen like 270 million. People (especially the best and brightest) have been fleeing Russia since the collapse of the USSR. The USA doesn't need to conspire against Russia.

Quote (Black XistenZ @ Sep 27 2022 03:46pm)
This chart is confusing me tbh. The USA and the Western European countries have high levels of net immigration, i.e. higher numbers of immigration than emigration, but the chart shows it the other way round. And what is "citation class" supposed to mean? Are they talking about education level? Also, the chart doesn't include Russia at all, so how is it a counter to his argument? Don't get me wrong, you're absolutely in the right here, but unless I'm missing something, this chart does nothing to support your point.


These are net migration numbers and destinations FOR RUSSIA.

This post was edited by Santara on Sep 27 2022 02:53pm
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Sep 27 2022 03:02pm
Quote (Santara @ 27 Sep 2022 22:52)
These are net migration numbers and destinations FOR RUSSIA.

Oooh, that makes sense then, lol. You should have mentioned that right away though :P ;)
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