Quote (IceMage @ Aug 21 2022 12:26am)
If the theory is that Russia engaged in this war to prevent NATO expansion is true(nobody opposed to Putin believes this, even those who hide behind "realism"), it's been a complete failure. NATO is expanding, and it's more united than ever. Maybe the "realists" should start talking Putin out of his backward views.
Its not about NATO expansion at all, Putin will not give up power until he is dead, Medvedev who he once trusted and who was his right hand man prior to 2012, then Medvedev stepped out of line and tried to run for 2nd term as president against Putins wishes, it was made clear to Medvedev who actually controls the Silovik system and that things would turn out really bad for him if he didn't step down and follow Putins orders as agreed prior to 2008 election.
Putin has nobody to even temporarily transfer the presidential sit to so he had to amend the constitution, simply because he doesn't trust anyone, he saw it during Medvedevs presidency how some of the cogs in this system started to break down, switch sides or stop doing dirt they where supposed to. And that again was Medvedev someone who he trusted more than anyone else but grip was softened a lot. Paranoia crept in, he can't trust anyone to take over knowing full well how much dirt he has done, how much he and his friends stolen and nobody being able to give him assurances and promises he would believe that he and his family wouldn't be prosecuted, once he loses the control on all the control levers and someone new comes in, things can turn bad very very quickly with mafia clans that right now more or less function in equilibrium turning on one another knowing that theres no iron fist to keep order from above.
Nato/USA is just playing a scape-goat role in his rhetoric, just like Ukraine, he needs enemies and wars to stay in power to divert attention from blatant thievery thats going on in Russia and stagnation if not complete degradation in many parts of Russia. Its the only way, he is stuck in that office where all control levers over the clans controlling russia are located, and now he is also stuck in Ukraine unable to take any meaningful new territories and hold them to give russians "victory" and stabilize his grip on power for next 2-3 years as he expected by taking Kiev and installing puppet government in Ukraine.
This post was edited by Lvivz on Aug 20 2022 04:58pm