why you using this account instead of your old one?

Lmao? Please elaborate.

looks like Ukraine is on the offense now

The smoker strikes again.

They're clearly softening up the Russian positions in the South with their attacks on depots and logistics. Cherson city is already destined to fall back to the Ukrainians if you ask me, but actually taking territory to the east of the Dnieper river will still be tough. The Ukrainian high command seems to be patient and smart, unlike their Russian counterpart, but it's still a tall task for a depleted and exhausted military to go on the actual offense.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Aug 16 2022 04:37pm

What exactly are you basing this off?

It's located on the western side of the Dnieper, surrounded by Ukrainian-controlled territory, and all bridges across the river in the region have been destroyed or damaged so severely that they can't be used to supply the Russian troops in the city anymore. Their supply hinges on a few ramshackle and vulnerable ponton bridges. If the Ukrainian side was able to destroy multiple massive, concrete bridges, they can easily take out these improvised ponton bridges whenever they feel like it.

edit: here's a relatively recent map:


This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Aug 16 2022 05:06pm

Based on the things I've recently read (in last week or so) Russia has moved a significant amount troops to it's southern theatre. These latest counter punches to weapons depots & bases are significant of course but IMO no where near close to being equated with ability for Ukraine to actually take a major city back.

We'll see in the next few weeks.

Look at the map I edited into my previous post. With all bridges across the massive river being destroyed in this region, I have a hard time seeing how the Russians are supposed to maintain their troops on the western side. The Ukrainians will starve out these positions and then take them back. But then again, recapturing the territority to the east of the river will be an entirely different story; there, the geography favors the Russians defending it.

they really need to get a hold of this guy. someone's gonna get hurt with him smoking all over the place. warships, military bases, ammunition depots...