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Aug 2 2022 11:19am
Quote (ownyaah @ Aug 2 2022 10:23am)
1 SAM missile malfunctioned, possibly an s300 in service since 1978 -> all russian weapons are failures.

Anyone who has studied engineering to any degree, or even worked in production knows that there is a % of faulty produced goods, and that a fail rate threshold is usually accepted because of diminishing returns.

You talking about dishwashers, and 1 singular misfuntion of a SAM missile. Probably Arestovich or biden could tell you, your mother is from mars and you would believe it 100%

Kramatorsk will be taken within 12-16 months. Wanna bet on it for fg? We can do 9500fg vs 9500fg. I can't tell you exactly when, it all depends on what higher command has for plans but, lets do the bet?

Everything you have said so far is incredibly low tier speculation.


That was a serious malfunction. It locked onto the nearest radar source and tried to home in. That would ordinarily be prevented by a failsafe.

I brought up Kramatorsk as a location for the use of Tochka-U missiles.
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Aug 2 2022 11:23am
Quote (ownyaah @ 2 Aug 2022 18:19)
Putin's death changes nothing. Medvedev, Lavrov or anyone else in duma would be 100 times more harsh.

I am 99% sure if medvedev was in charge, he would've already pulled 1 million reserves. If lunatics like medvedev are given the opportunity, they would've carpet bombed kiev already btw. Go ahead read his personal statements and compare them to putin.


Medvedev was considered to be Putin-light in the past.
Now he became more radical than Putin.
Im not sure which Medvedev is real, could be acting all the time, lol.
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Aug 2 2022 11:33am
Quote (Santara @ Aug 2 2022 07:19pm)
That was a serious malfunction. It locked onto the nearest radar source and tried to home in. That would ordinarily be prevented by a failsafe.

I brought up Kramatorsk as a location for the use of Tochka-U missiles.


Impossible to know 100% who shot that tochka-U. Most likely ukraine, The trajectory etc but I highly doubt it was on purpose though, it was 100% malfunction regardless of who possibly shot it. This is one of those instances I wouldn't hold ukraine at all responsible for the damage. These things happen in war.. Russians/dpr have barely used any tockas. There has only been like 2 picture/video evidence of them even being transported by russians, and these are big you can't really sneak them in. For example we have hundreds of videos of movement of iskanders or s300, s400 etc

Extra failsafes, and overengineering, and extra quality control, all these things are calculated and expected. It is done 100% deliberately, like i said diminishing returns in production and all that jaz.

Quote (Ironfister @ Aug 2 2022 07:23pm)
Medvedev was considered to be Putin-light in the past.
Now he became more radical than Putin.
Im not sure which Medvedev is real, could be acting all the time, lol.


Most statements coming out of duma or other russians have been extremely harsher than anything by putin. You are right it could be ploys, and acting but if anyone thinks putins replacement/successor is gonna be more soft is very unlikely. Wishful thinking

This post was edited by ownyaah on Aug 2 2022 11:40am
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Aug 2 2022 12:03pm
From Yuri Butusov, well respected ukranian war reporter btw
https://imgur.com/a/DYQxzkV
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FZK_ucWXkAUIk3i?format=png&name=medium

to quote myself from earlier:

Quote (ownyaah @ Aug 1 2022 07:20pm)
If peski falls, avdiika is fucked.

Also if soledar falls and the nearby hills, bakhmut is fucked.




This post was edited by ownyaah on Aug 2 2022 12:08pm
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Aug 2 2022 12:45pm
Quote (ownyaah @ 2 Aug 2022 21:03)
From Yuri Butusov, well respected ukranian war reporter btw
https://imgur.com/a/DYQxzkV
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FZK_ucWXkAUIk3i?format=png&name=medium

to quote myself from earlier:


You should attack Peski and Avdiivka at once.
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Aug 2 2022 02:25pm
Quote (Impy @ Aug 2 2022 09:55pm)


Why would he do that huh, could it possibly have something to do with the woke West pressing Ukraine to adopt Western "progressive standards" in order for them to be able to apply for NATO / EU membership?
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Aug 2 2022 03:02pm
Quote (Djunior @ Aug 2 2022 09:25pm)
Why would he do that huh, could it possibly have something to do with the woke West pressing Ukraine to adopt Western "progressive standards" in order for them to be able to apply for NATO / EU membership?


no, it's a law in ukraine that if a petition gets to a certain number of signings, the president has to judge it.

I am sure this will not go ahead, it's just a bureaucratic formality they need to take care of.
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Aug 2 2022 06:00pm
Quote (ownyaah @ 2 Aug 2022 18:19)
Putin's death changes nothing. Medvedev, Lavrov or anyone else in duma would be 100 times more harsh.

I am 99% sure if medvedev was in charge, he would've already pulled 1 million reserves. If lunatics like medvedev are given the opportunity, they would've carpet bombed kiev already btw. Go ahead read his personal statements and compare them to putin.


Quote (Ironfister @ 2 Aug 2022 19:23)
Medvedev was considered to be Putin-light in the past.
Now he became more radical than Putin.
Im not sure which Medvedev is real, could be acting all the time, lol.


When Medvedev was president, he was considered more liberal than Putin. Civil society, the arts and culture thrived during his presidency - at least by the pitiful standards of Russia. His presidency was generally considered a period of thawing relations, both in Russia and between Russia and the West. Since that time, Medvedev has continuously fallen down the ladder of Russia's leadership, to the point that he occupies a meaningless represenative post without any real power right now.

Therefore, my take on Medvedev's giga-radical rhetoric since the war has started is that he's trying to get in Putin's good graces again and trying to shake off his "softie-image" by overcompensating with endless drivel about nuclear holocaust this, total annihilation that, and so on and on. Medvedev imho is all bark no bite. I'd be far more concerned about a guy like Patrushev.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Aug 2 2022 06:04pm
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Aug 2 2022 09:33pm
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Natural-Gas/EU-Gas-Dependence-On-Russia-Falls-By-50.html

Eu moving in the right direction to reduce dependency on the orcs
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