what a baddy.

Unfortunately, this topic is going to be abandoned due to Taiwan. This world is full of shit. No Asus.

This post was edited by Norlander on Aug 2 2022 10:06am

The Russia Ukraine conflict looks like it will go on for at least another 2 years. While Taiwan may escalate, from a standpoint of europe, ukraine will remain relevant, in my opinion. it all depends on how far europe wants to push the issue (one way or the other), nevermind the US. If Trump is re-elected, if there are (eventual) protest induced changes in government throughout europe, its hard to tell what options/strategies are employed/roads taken.

ukraine will not countenance the loss of land
i expect that europe, or the US, will eventually be the arbiter between ukraine and russia, and as a result it will involve a russian land grab
its hard to see ukraine accepting this, or accepting this long term, either way i expect it will mean a reshuffle of the ukrainian government until there exists an acceptance to end the war (either in victory or defeat). I cant see how zelensky can preside over a permanent truce/ceasefire/surrender. ultimately you have 2 sides that by this point hate each other. therefore if there is a land grab, as intimated by ukraine in the 2018, interview i expect a further conflict later in the decade after they have licked their paws and regrouped.

This post was edited by ferdia on Aug 2 2022 10:18am

My take is that there is 2 ways the war can go:
1: after donbass, they make a deal for neutrality. Russia keeps what they have taken.
2: War continues for odessa/kharkov. This could mean anywhere from 2-10 years and a stalemate at some point. All depends on if Putin is willing to pull reserves.

I dont see a 3rd option

This post was edited by ownyaah on Aug 2 2022 10:16am

This one is going to affect the whole world far more than artificial grain crysis. Semiconductor crysis is the agenda.

The effects of west / china breaking ties is gonna have rippling effects for generations to come. Semi conductors is an overhyped ordeal.

This post was edited by ownyaah on Aug 2 2022 10:19am

putin will probably be dead within 10 years. that would probably change things.

yea a conflict between the US (read: the western world) and China would be bad for everyone for a long time.


This post was edited by ferdia on Aug 2 2022 10:21am

Putin's death changes nothing. Medvedev, Lavrov or anyone else in duma would be 100 times more harsh.

I am 99% sure if medvedev was in charge, he would've already pulled 1 million reserves. If lunatics like medvedev are given the opportunity, they would've carpet bombed kiev already btw. Go ahead read his personal statements and compare them to putin.

This post was edited by ownyaah on Aug 2 2022 10:23am

Medvedev owned Georgia within a week being a liberal gummy bear

Russian soldier faces backlash from radical extreme bigots for helping Ukrainian soldier transition. The media claims “castration” while the truth is the Russian was liberating the Ukrainian from the oppression of gender-isolation.

Stay tuned.