Quote (bogie160 @ 22 Jul 2022 23:38)
Have they grown in strength? If they attack the Baltics they'll get what's coming to them, but we haven't given Ukraine any guarantees, why is this the hill to die on?
Ukraine is a candidate to NATO, candidate to EU.
And this is the reason they were attacked.
While candidate is not a full membership yet, we should help them, if we want to be considered serious in the politics.
Also Im not sure what we will see in Baltics, if Russia attacks there. Do you think Germany will help there, given their position in current war and extensive connections with Russia? France? All French politics are friends with Russia. Turkey? I dont think so.
Remember there is always a secret diplomacy between countries. Officially Germany could be against Russian invasion in baltics, but unoficially via a secret channel send a message to Russia that they are fine with Russia actions.
About USA, current president is fine, but Trump wouldnt send Americans to help baltics, imo.
NATO could be pretty much over as a result. Putin might risk it. I dont know if he will, but that's on the table definitely.
Also it was part of deal with western countries that Ukraine have given out their nukes. When we made them give away their nukes, we should help them now. Else how do you expect other countries in the future to agree to give out their nukes, when they see it didnt go well for Ukraine?
Also if Russia eats Ukraine they get 40millions additional people. People that could be drafted to fight another war, as they currently do, trying to make Ukrainians fight other Ukrainians. People that could be heavily taxed also, and sent to Syberia and other unwelcoming areas of Russia.
This post was edited by Ironfister on Jul 22 2022 03:55pm