Quote (Goomshill @ Jun 28 2022 03:41pm)
The cities that the Russians actually sieged, were reduced to rubble. Kiev never lost its utilities, was never subjected to widespread bombing / shelling. A few sporadic shells, a few missiles, some minor fighting around distant suburbs, some strikes back and forth between missile systems. We had lots of footage of Russian armor and troops moving around outside the city uncontested, and footage of Ukrainians manning checkpoints all too trigger happy, but little direct fighting and no campaign of flattening the city. It wasn't a major offensive that invested the forces necessary to capture the city and failed. It was posturing, that staged their forces outside the city, and then backed down without either a storm or a siege. And I'm open minded as to what the thought process was behind that, but I think pretending that it was some great invasion of Kiev that was gloriously fought back in bitter combat is belied by the obvious differences between what happened in Kiev and cities the Russians actually attacked, like Mariupol, reduced to smoldering ruins.
If Russia had actually sent in all those troops and armor they were circling around the city, either the city would fall, or it would be a bloodbath of Ukrainians massacred, or a bloodbath on the order of the siege of stalingrad as they fought street by street. The Ukrainians were making a show of having children arm themselves with molotov cocktails, lets be glad they didn't get used.
The Russians didn't have enough resources to successfully lay siege to Kyiv. They tried to surround the city (Bucha, Irpin, Gostomel, Vasylkiv, etc.) and they tried to reinforce their troops through Sumy and Chernihiv "axes." They tried to do the same to Kharkiv too. At the end of the day, it was a miscalculation on their part and it cost them severely. They lost A LOT of special forces trying to shock Kyiv into submission.
Comparing Mariupol to Kyiv is strange because Mariupol was able to be surrounded due to the Russian Navy and is significantly smaller. We've been saying since early March that for Russia to take Ukraine, they would need at least 500k troops. 100k of those would have to be dedicated to Kyiv alone.