Quote (dro94 @ May 10 2021 02:18pm)
Semiconductor companies might not make much more money than they are currently. The shortage has highlighted how countries need to be able to produce them domestically, so there will be more competition in the long term. Also, TSMC have contracts in place with the likes of Samsung and Apple at fixed prices, it's the auto companies that didn't pre-order when sales were lower in 2020 so are missing out (as are producers of semiconductors)
Not sure I agree with this. There are a lot of tech trends that all point to semis being in high demand for a long time. A big one is EV's, other ones like crypto, smart infrastructure, VR, overall gaming being others.
Like in 30 years do you see your house, car, electronics needing fewer better chips or more?
The industry is hampered right now because they can't produce to meet demand but that's a short-term issue because obviously capital will flow into the sector to expand capacity. More silicon wafers will be created. More factories from TSM the likes will come online. That means much higher revenue going forth IMO. Contract hedging may cap profits in the short-medium term but when those contracts expire the semi manufacturers will obviously adjust the price upwards.
I think the only concern with some of these companies is they aren't cheap and basically already ran up significantly in the last few years so at this point many of these things are priced in. Idk though, some of these companies don't feel overly expensive. Maybe they are, but I can counter and say pretty much all of the market outside of maybe like energy being overpriced.
This post was edited by ofthevoid on May 10 2021 12:42pm