Quote (thundercock @ 24 Aug 2020 14:45)
Perhaps it's time to look at the things that are actually hurting but will likely recover.
sure let's take a look:
restaurants: industry probably has shifted permanently to a hybrid 50% former capacity/emphasis on takeout. less need for waiters/servers/bartenders etc. fast casual will dominate.
box retail: other than amazon and wal-mart and target, yeeee-ouch.
commercial real estate: rest in rip in peace. firms find a way to slash what is likely their 3rd largest expense item behind cost of goods sold/compensation by moving to a more remote-friendly function.
airlines: say goodbye to 'business travel' which pays their bloated executive salaries. gonna lag for a while
hotels: see airlines, but to less of an extent
leisurely travel: while everyone wants to go on vacation, fear will stop this until a vaccine comes out.
oil: double-whammy with less travel (business/luxury) and proliferation of alternative energy sources. Trump replenished US strategic oil reserve when the prices of barrels bottomed. Musk lolerskating
financials: these will be fine, other than maybe wells fargo which is more of a function of bershire exiting a lot of their position
of course the largest factor is that small businesses have an tiny, if any, representation in the stock market. medical experts and local/state governments mandated that small businesses shut down and anyone in the s&p500 was good to go since covid-19 doesn't go to their locations.
This post was edited by excellence on Aug 24 2020 01:19pm