Trump 2020 - Topic

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Nov 3 2020 10:23am

Quote (EA7 @ Nov 3 2020 10:21am)

That's a good point, I think there will be a good amount of people voting against the party they're registered as this election. I think this will favor Trump slightly, but probably not by much.

Yeah, they could cancel each other out, or it good be a significant difference. It's anyone's call right now, WRT x-over.

Skinned

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#7812

Nov 3 2020 10:53am

Quote (Black XistenZ @ Nov 3 2020 10:37am)

From what I can see, the Dem lead in Miami-Dade is down to 10% (was 30% in 2016), but Trump is underperforming his margins by tens of thousands of votes in most other populous counties (Orange, Hillsborough, Pinellas, Duval).

If Biden wins Ohio, Florida, or North Carolina its over. Trump needs those three to reach 270.

Black XistenZ

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#7813

Nov 3 2020 11:38am

Quote (Skinned @ 3 Nov 2020 17:53)

If Biden wins Ohio, Florida, or North Carolina its over. Trump needs those three to reach 270.

If Biden wins in Ohio, it'll be a landslide.

Florida is an absolute must win for Trump, 538's model gives him less than a 1% chance of winning the EC conditional on having lost FL. NC is not aaaaas must-win for him, but it would then require him to win several midwestern states and not just PA. It would also bode really well for Biden in GA and AZ.

Black XistenZ

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#7814

Nov 3 2020 12:17pm

Meanwhile, in Pennsylvania: