2nd war are coming again if the peace will not be achieved. just an replay. 53-59-63-67 Staff already are moving to Marocco.

One of the most important reasons of the conflict was religious. Few years before of the Russian ''invasion'' in Ukraine, at Istanbul(Constantinopoli) the orthodox patriarchy of Constantinopoli declared the church of Ukraine independent with New rank from Mitropolli to Patriarchy dividing like this the Russian Orthodox Church.

This post was edited by El_LoCo on Jul 14 2026 03:05am

What? You saying pootin is religious?

This post was edited by said_aouita on Jul 14 2026 08:27am

Mother Russia, corruption at its finest.
Wagner mutiny explained:

It has happened. The stream of volunteers has dried up. International volunteers went home disillusioned, complaining about the shortage of well, everything, they received no pay, no nothing.

It's the reason Ukraine is not capable of another big arrow offensive like the 2023 counter offensive. They heavily rely on fpv drones to slow down the Russians and try to avoid infantry on infantry clashes as much as possible apart from the special assault brigades they use to blunt Russian advances in important places.


I predicted in early 2022 that Russia would crush Ukraine in 3 months. It was Russia vs Ukraine not Russia vs entire NATO + all NATO allies they could rally.

How many countries support Ukraine, how much military aid + other aid + intel does Ukraine receive? Do you realize that Star Link alone is critical for Ukraine for their drones, communication, long range strikes, their drone boats, all of that?

Without all of that Ukraine has no hope to resist and it's safe to say they would've reached an agreement after negotiations in early 2022. But we know how that went. Thanks Boris

This post was edited by Djunior on Jul 14 2026 11:26am

The claim that "Ukraine will run out of soldiers" didn't stand in a vacuum, it was explicitly used as an argument for why Ukraine's defeat was imminent and inevitable. In reality, they are currently in a stronger position than they had been for years.

Also note that the current ability to relief their frontlines will give their existing soldiers and supporting personnel a much needed breather, which will restore/improve their ability to to continue fighting in the coming years even if few fresh troops are mustered.



Ukraine critically relies on Western support, just as Russia critically relies on Chinese firms undermining the sanctions and supplying them with the goods and products they need, but could no longer get from the West.
Also, you're contradictiing yourself here. For years, you have argued that Ukraine and NATO getting closer was the key cause of this war, yet now you want to argue that you couldn't realistically forsee NATO supporting Ukraine in case of a Russian invasion.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Jul 14 2026 01:23pm

I can't tell if this is resulting from some deep restriction on information to lead you to this conclusion but how is Ukraine in a better position today when 1. they have lost several fortress cities during the last few years. 2. even more people have emigrated.

They now launch many more drones but again because of Western support, without Star Link the drones are blind. These strikes don't change the situation on the ground though.

Russia can buy stuff on the market I mean what are you suggesting, that the entire world should be precisely doing what the West dictates, backing the West's geo-political games? That's not just unrealistic, it's a pipe dream.

Furthermore Russia is simply buying the stuff it needs, compared to ~50 odd countries donating all kind of military aid to Ukraine (they cannot survive without it).

Manpower issues are still getting worse. In no way are they in a stronger position than before.

I'm not Nostradamus and I don't have a crystal ball.

Your argument makes no sense at all.

At the time it was Russia vs Ukraine that was the reality.

You suggesting I had to know what would happen in the future is a complete BS argument. Calling it out right here right now

As a Moscow resident, I can say that the fuel shortage is felt much less noticeably here than in the regions. Diesel fuel is abundant, with minimal consumers. There is natural gas and electricity available for hybrids and electric cars. There is a specific type of gasoline whose availability can be tracked through fueling apps. Mass drone attacks are becoming routine- you can not only hear but also see the air defense systems in action. This is definitely a new chapter of the war. The only question is how long it will last. Zelensky mentioned 40 days. That's not much. If Ukraine's combat drive fizzles out by then, we can once again chalk it up to PR. AMA.

This post was edited by Norlander on Jul 14 2026 01:50pm

I meant they are in a much better position today than they were 6 months or a year ago, when their frontlines were under massive stress and the initiative was fully with Russia. Look back in this thread, even in January of this year, goom and, I think, you or djunior were discussing the possibility of a complete collapse of Ukraine's defenses, or how it was probably only a matter of months until Kramatorsk/Sloviansk would fall.

In recent weeks, Russia's initiative on the ground has lost almost all of its steam, Ukraine was even able to retake some minor territory. Russia's war logistics and its economic backbone are getting pummeled by Ukrainian drones, and Russia doesn't seem to find a counter. All in all, Ukraine's chances of fighting this war to a stalemate have increased dramatically compared to where these odds stood 6-24 months ago.







From a logistical point of view, it makes sense that a place like Moscow can cope better with attacks on refineries since they have multiple of them and can shuffle production around. Much more difficult to do in the periphery when the only refinery within a 500km radius gets taken out.

From a political point of view, it makes sense that the capital and place where most of Russia's ruling class is concentrated will get all the resources it needs to maintain "life as normal". Waiting in line for fuel is for the plebs.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Jul 14 2026 04:05pm