From what I remember, Denmark and Sweden couldn't come to a clear conclusion during their investigation and also weren't particularly motivated since the issue concerns Germany far more than them.
Poland has always been the most anti-NS country in the EU and the rented yacht with which the commando carried out the attack against the pipelines did have a multi-hour stop in Poland, although it's not entirely clear if it was during the outward trip or on the return trip. Furthermore, the travel firm which rented the yacht was located in Warsaw, but turned out to be nothing but a shell company.
https://www.tagesschau.de/investigativ/nordstream-sabotage-andromeda-polen-100.htmlSo Poland is looking bad in all of this. Either Polish operatives were directly involved, for example by bringing the explosives to the yacht with the Ukrainian commando. Or Ukrainian operatives brought the explosives to the yacht and Polish authorities either looked the other way or genuinely didn't catch them. And perhaps this travel firm which rented the yacht was a front of Ukrainian intelligence services and operated in the middle of Warsaw for years before cleaning house in the aftermath of the NS attack. No mattter which of these explanations is true, they all make Poland look either complicit or extremely incompetent. Hence, it's no surprise that Poland isn't cooperating with the investigation. This fact alone, however, is not sufficient to prove their guilt or complicity with the degree of certainty which would be required in this context.
Your theory requires us to believe that:
(a) A rogue actor possessed state-level capabilities
(b) That actor operated without detection or sanction
(c) That actor was never exposed or prosecuted
(d) Multiple states - Denmark, Sweden, Poland, Germany - behaved exactly as they would if state involvement were the truth, but for entirely different reasons
That is not a logical or credible theory.
A state actor, or actors working on behalf of a state - carried out the attack. That state was Ukraine, likely with tacit U.S. support or foreknowledge. The investigations closed because the truth was inconvenient. The suspects are shielded because they are not rogue actors, they are operatives acting in what they believed to be their state's interest. A rogue actor like that is operating without the government's consent, yet somehow never misbehaved agan? how noble.
You have your theory and I have mine. I am leaving it at that.
This post was edited by ferdia on Jul 4 2026 04:25am