So on reading the above (and fact checking) Iran has once again (declared) closed the straight of hormuz on the basis that the US (or its Ally, Israel) have continued their special military operation in Lebanon. This is being widely reported in international media. I am surprised, in a good way*, that Iran did this so promptly, as it means that they genuinely want a diplomatic solution. What I mean is, if they did this after a week of bombardment in Lebanon by Israel, it would not be as powerful as doing it straight away. Basically, from what I gather, The US gave Israel a 60 day reprieve to do what they wanted in Lebanon, and they would argue with Iran that they are following the letter of the law. However, Iran is basically saying no, you are breaking the spirit of the Law, Lebanon was included in the deal, Lebanon is being bombed, you cannot protect Lebanon, so we will.
In terms of Hezbollah, their position is, well we are not going to lay down our arms while Israel is at our door. The deal included a cessation of bombing in Lebanon, which has not happened, therefore Hezbollah continues with their armed resistance (and bomb Israel if they get the chance).
While the window of response was way smaller, the result is the same - Iran has responded. The US and Iran will blame Israel for breaking a deal between the US and Iran. The US is ultimately responsible for the fall out here. The Trump administration did not secure the one thing required to make it work: buy-in from their most critical ally - Israel. In fact the US did no treat Israel like an Ally, unilaterally negotiating with Iran without Israel. These events are also clearly showing that the US negotiating team and Trump administration are woefully inadequate. I was a bit silly yesterday, I thought Iran would wait a week and then lob some ballistic missiles, but closing the straight of hormuz immediately is the simplest (and probably the most effective) response, which does not cause escalation (or rebombardment of Iran)
The most likely scenario now is that Israel will continue its operations in Lebanon (67% of Israeli's polled were in favour of this, the far right in Israel is saying "burn them all"), the Straight of Hormuz will be closed for months and Iran will resume sending Ballistic missiles to Israel in retaliation.
(*Ultimately, in my opinion, Israel was never going to get free reign to do to Lebanon what it did to Gaza. A total victory was and remains not on the cards. On that basis a diplomatic solution, sooner rather then later, is the best result to minimise drivers for future war.) <- i left this in but events outpace this comment.
What Israel should do now is sit down with the US and find something to agree on fast. AFAIK there are elections in October? in Israel, so there is a serious emphasis on being as strong as possible, as hard as possible. no compromise, no retreat.
Israel ceasefire on friday, hezbollah refuse to ceasefire which means you missed the entire picture.