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Mar 25 2026 02:24pm
tbh i heavily downplayed the greater israel movement in israel. i didnt think it had anywhere near this traction. largely because most of the israeli opinions i knew were pard posters who weren't abashed at all about killing civilians or jailing people indefinitely, so figured they'd also cop to that.

but ya id say by the end of this war lebanon loses a chunk and the west bank gets carved out more, the mosque is the last real obstacle of note. the rest is just land and people, which they've shown they will happily take.


Lebanon/gaza/West Bank is the minimum

Honestly I am thinking they expand western Syria/northern Jordan as well before end of Trump term
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Mar 25 2026 03:58pm


What he alluding to is a failure in Risk Management. The market is culturally inexperienced in Geo Political Affairs and by the time they learn their lesson, they will cave to the next lesson. perfectly normal behavior. It's like banking:

There is a crash coming, the banks knew it, but even when the crash happened, they did not adjust for another 5-6 years. same with the Ukraine / Russia conflict, its like they are in a casino trying to win their lost money back.
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Mar 26 2026 12:32am
Lebanon/gaza/West Bank is the minimum

Honestly I am thinking they expand western Syria/northern Jordan as well before end of Trump term


There is no greater movement in Israel.
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Mar 26 2026 03:08am
Lebanon/gaza/West Bank is the minimum

Honestly I am thinking they expand western Syria/northern Jordan as well before end of Trump term


I know it sounds like I am defending Israel these days, I would like to think I am merely clarifying points (and i accept this is more for the Israeli thread, yet here we are). In late 2024 and into 2025, Israel expanded its military presence into southwestern Syria along the Israeli border. This 70–75 km long zone, covering roughly 400 km², was established after the Yom Kippur War in 1973, a conflict between Israel and a coalition of Arab states led by Egypt and Syria, but it remains recognized as Syrian territory. Israeli forces moved in citing security concerns from the Syrian Civil War and hostile armed groups. The area is sparsely populated, with small villages and farmland in Quneitra province. Some civilians remain, but movement is restricted and limited displacement has been reported. Importantly, there are no Israeli civilian settlements, and no Israelis have moved in to live. The presence is strictly military—bases, patrols, and checkpoints—reinforcing that this is a temporary occupation-type control, not a civilian settlement or formal annexation. Beyond the buffer zone, Israel has reportedly taken nearby strategic high ground, including parts of Mount Hermon and surrounding rural areas. Combined, the affected land is roughly 400–800 km². These areas are militarily significant but have no major population centers. Until settlements are built or a single civilian moves in, the question of annexation is clear: no, it has not been annexed and there has been no land grab. It is certainly illegal though. Effectively Israel is squatting in another country.

feel free to clarify

This post was edited by ferdia on Mar 26 2026 03:16am
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Mar 26 2026 03:25am
I know it sounds like I am defending Israel these days, I would like to think I am merely clarifying points (and i accept this is more for the Israeli thread, yet here we are). In late 2024 and into 2025, Israel expanded its military presence into southwestern Syria along the Israeli border. This 70–75 km long zone, covering roughly 400 km², was established after the Yom Kippur War in 1973, a conflict between Israel and a coalition of Arab states led by Egypt and Syria, but it remains recognized as Syrian territory. Israeli forces moved in citing security concerns from the Syrian Civil War and hostile armed groups. The area is sparsely populated, with small villages and farmland in Quneitra province. Some civilians remain, but movement is restricted and limited displacement has been reported. Importantly, there are no Israeli civilian settlements, and no Israelis have moved in to live. The presence is strictly military—bases, patrols, and checkpoints—reinforcing that this is a temporary occupation-type control, not a civilian settlement or formal annexation. Beyond the buffer zone, Israel has reportedly taken nearby strategic high ground, including parts of Mount Hermon and surrounding rural areas. Combined, the affected land is roughly 400–800 km². These areas are militarily significant but have no major population centers. Until settlements are built or a single civilian moves in, the question of annexation is clear: no, it has not been annexed and there has been no land grab. It is certainly illegal though. Effectively Israel is squatting in another country.

^many_names feel free to clarify


Quneitra has been a ghost town since 1973, with no inhabitants at all. Khan Arnabah, on the other hand, was a small town of about 10,000 people; it sits on the main road to Damascus and is currently held by the IDF (its the high ground). In my opinion, these areas won't become settlements; they will be returned once the new Syrian government, led by al-Sharaa, reaches a formal agreement with Israel.


Edit: there can be settlements if idiots like ben gvir or smotrich given more power.. very unlikely

This post was edited by Many_Names on Mar 26 2026 03:27am
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Mar 26 2026 03:27am
Quneitra has been a ghost town since 1973, with no inhabitants at all. Khan Arnabah, on the other hand, was a small town of about 10,000 people; it sits on the main road to Damascus and is currently held by the IDF. In my opinion, these areas won't become settlements; they will be returned once the new Syrian government, led by al-Sharaa, reaches a formal agreement with Israel.


Edit: there can be settlements if idiots like ben gvir or smotrich given more power.. very unlikely


thanks
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Mar 26 2026 06:18am
Option 3: claim victory and say it was a great success for the next month, then move onto the next distraction.


:blush: did I call it?

edit:


This post was edited by Mondain on Mar 26 2026 06:19am
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Mar 26 2026 07:46am
Lebanon/gaza/West Bank is the minimum

Honestly I am thinking they expand western Syria/northern Jordan as well before end of Trump term


Syria is basically a given, they supported the radicals there and will come calling for a return favor at some point. they're happy with chaos and no stability in Syria, but they'll also want something eventually in return.

Jordan is where im less sure, that might be kicking the hornets nest too much but idk, could happen.
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Mar 26 2026 06:06pm
courtesy of

China has just blocked its tungsten exports, plunging our armed forces into a state of industrial agony.
The CEO of Rheinmetall's assessment is unequivocal: without this metal, the production of Patriot and THAAD missiles will grind to a halt!
Tungsten stocks in Europe and the United States are now practically depleted.
China, which controls 85% of global production, has locked down its exports: prices are skyrocketing by 500% while our arsenals are dwindling.
Without this irreplaceable metal, the production of Patriot and THAAD missiles is directly threatened with paralysis.

"Stocks are empty," warn industry representatives, while the Pentagon is already having to draw on its own reserves to compensate for the drain on resources sent to conflict zones.
This Chinese decision alone could spell the end of the Iran-Iraq War, and also the end of the war in Ukraine! If there are no more missiles or weapons, there is no more war!

End of the Epstein bellicist empire incoming
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Mar 27 2026 06:28pm
courtesy of ^Melatonina

China has just blocked its tungsten exports, plunging our armed forces into a state of industrial agony.
The CEO of Rheinmetall's assessment is unequivocal: without this metal, the production of Patriot and THAAD missiles will grind to a halt!
Tungsten stocks in Europe and the United States are now practically depleted.
China, which controls 85% of global production, has locked down its exports: prices are skyrocketing by 500% while our arsenals are dwindling.
Without this irreplaceable metal, the production of Patriot and THAAD missiles is directly threatened with paralysis.

"Stocks are empty," warn industry representatives, while the Pentagon is already having to draw on its own reserves to compensate for the drain on resources sent to conflict zones.
This Chinese decision alone could spell the end of the Iran-Iraq War, and also the end of the war in Ukraine! If there are no more missiles or weapons, there is no more war!

End of the Epstein bellicist empire incoming


Why do you think Trump is going to China soon.
Simple, just don't mess with Taiwan and China might just send tons of free Tungsten. Could be a good deal at the moment.

There are no friends or allies in Geo Politics. It's a give and take. I mean , I don't believe China will be friends with Russia for a thousand years or "enemies" with USA for a thousand years.
It is just that realistic.

US was pretty much on China's side during the Bi Polar era where Soviet and Warsaw Pact post a larger threat than a impoverished China that is going through famine and the Cultural Revolution.
And luckily at that time. China and Yugoslavia I believe were the two communist country that were against the Soviet Bloc.

And in a rather interesting manner, India a " Democracy " was allied with Soviet Union. And USA is allied with your Allahu Ackbar Dictator Pakistan. And US / China supported Pakistan against a Soviet backed India.

Long Story short, China improved leaps and bounds since that time and is now considered a " threat " to US interest and no longer acts as a front against the Russians so the first island chain shifted again.
From a huge country that can be used to launch against the Russians and freely having 100s of millions of lives being used as cannon folder.

So they used Ukraine instead. :lol:
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