What? Your points keep getting more bizarre.

So to be clear, you believe Russia is currently in the midst of a civil war… but you don’t believe they will be in a civil war at any time in the next six months?

Yup. Im being very optimistic and believe Vlad is gone within six months. This is going to be a tough winter for Russia.


Ok, I believe two options in my poll are possible.

This post was edited by said_aouita on Nov 11 2025 07:03pm

What makes you think so?

Ukraine is causing massive damage to russias infrastructure every day. FSB arresting many oligarchs. Putin is realizing such a large country as Russia, it's impossible to defend it all.


Plus, over 80% of all Russians want the war to end.

Moscow also is now cutting internet access to its people.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/64048
https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/russia-internet-restrictions-9.6960036

This post was edited by said_aouita on Nov 12 2025 03:49am

Nato doesnt have to use civilian cars and mopeds.

I’ve looked up refinery damage on Platts - most of them were non-critical and most refiners are back online or scheduled to be back online mid -end November. If you look at European refinery cracks what do you see? How much capacity do you think has been taken permanently and irreparably offline? What other massive infrastructure damage did you notice?

Which oligarchs have been arrested?

Putin is clearly well aware of the size of Russia and how to defend it - hence the inflated security apparatus and reliance on nuclear weapons as ultimate deterrent. What makes you think he is not?

Could you please provide exact quote “80% Russians” - I believe you are misleading us here with incorrect appropriations.

is able to login from Moscow - what makes you think internet has been cut?

This post was edited by Malopox on Nov 12 2025 05:09am

What if I'm the who cuts the internets there

Here is one example.
Ukrainian Robot Boats Hit Russian Black Sea Oil Terminal
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/63972


Lots of oligarchs arrested by the FSB within the last year.
https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-says-it-has-opened-new-criminal-case-against-exiled-kremlin-critic-2025-10-14/

Lots of Asain countries suddenly cut off from oil.

Russian Black Sea Port Halts Fuel Exports After Ukrainian Strike


https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/11/05/russian-black-sea-port-halts-fuel-exports-after-ukraine-strike-a91053

This post was edited by said_aouita on Nov 12 2025 05:57am

Did you read your own link? One damaged wharf at one of the ports is not “massive damage to Russian infrastructure”. Can you please try to read my questions again and come back with some analysis of your own. You can use visual aids and ChatGPT. Also you can use crayons.

2nd link - are you unironically posting about Khodorkovsky? Do you know who he is?