What is your current take on where this war is going ? im all doom and gloom, i dont mind hearing an alternate view...
I honestly can't tell. The pace of the Russian advances on the ground was accelerating earlier in the year, but has slowed down noticeably over the past 2-3 months. Ukraine has ramped up its use of drones and cruise missiles and began inflicting more painful damage on targets on Russia, but Russia was able to answer with a devastating attack on Ukraine's energy infrastructure last week.
I guess a ton will depend on where Trump goes. He tried to make progress by striking a conciliatory tone toward Russia and Putin, but these efforts (imho predictably) went nowhere. There are signs that Trump is increasingly losing patience with Russia/Putin, but he has no love lost for Ukraine and his political instincts are strongly isolationist. Also, he would have a hard time selling a ramped up American involvement to his base.
Between Trump going "fuck it, we're out" and Trump greenlighting massive American troops for Ukraine, I wouldn't rule out anything. The crux imho is if he can find a way to increase the pressure on Russia without violating his principles or alienating his base. Which is a much tougher nut to crack than Gaza was. In Gaza, the IDF did all the heavy lifting on the ground and all Trump had to do was giving them the green light to wipe out Gaza City if Hamas doesn't budge. By contrast, achieving a similar result in Ukraine would require far more direct involvement by the US military, far more risk-taking and financial commitment.
Another factor that I can't really assess with any kind of precision is the state of the Russian economy. They could run out of steam within a year, or they could be able to keep up the current level of warfare for another 5+ years.