At least Trump is drilling for more oil to help. I'm not sure if this tariff stuff is going to work out.
For those that do support the tarrifs, how do you think they should be calculated? The unga bunga math used to calculate the numbers being presented doesn't seem to be an approach that inspires confidence that the people behind this have any idea what they are doing.
More so I don't think I've ever read a headline from a well established news org calling a head of state an idiot in my lifetime.
Trump’s ‘idiotic’ and flawed tariff calculations stun economists
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/apr/03/trumps-idiotic-and-flawed-tariff-calculations-stun-economistsWaving a big chart as a prop in the White House Rose Garden, Donald Trump suggested his new tariff plan was simple: “Reciprocal – that means they do it to us, and we do it to them. Very simple. Can’t get simpler than that.”
Perhaps a bit too simple. The method used to calculate the most important numbers in international trade, politics and economics has left some of the world’s leading experts shocked.
For each country, the White House looked up its trade in goods deficit for 2024, then divided that by the total value of imports. Trump, to be “kind”, said he would, however, offer a discount, so halved that figure. The calculation was even distilled into a formula.
For example, take the figures for China:
Goods trade deficit: $291.9bn
Total goods imports: $438.9bn
Those figures divided = 0.67, or 67%
And halved = 34%
For countries without a large deficit, the White House applied a 10% baseline, ensuring tariffs would be applied regardless. This was the case for the UK, which the US Census Bureau reckons had an almost-$12bn surplus in 2024.
“[It is] quite an extraordinary calculation after months of work behind the scenes,” said Jim Reid, the global head of macro research at Deutsche Bank. “[It] didn’t add much confidence on there being an in-depth strategic implementation plan.”
One safe thing to say is that these are NOT reciprocal tariffs. ie: tariff in response to another tariff
These are simply reactionary tariffs towards net trade imbalances.
I don't know how these are going to reduce existing tariffs. Countries like South Korea already have a free trade agreement which is basically 0%. No way for SK to reduce that but SK still got hit with a tariff.