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Mar 7 2025 03:46am
I’ll be honest, and it might be my current acute sleep deprivation, I perceived your comment as a non-sequitur and responded in similarly flippant fashion (primarily because I can’t really ascertain what parallel you’re attempting to draw).

Perhaps it’s a lack of knowledge on the state of geopolitical affairs in 90s China that’s obfuscating my view. I am on the younger side and older historical conflicts are not always within my purview.

As far as the decision for the Fed reserve to begin pumping out more fiat back in 2008, I don’t think it was a decision that anyone wanted to make. Most people knew the futility of the decision but it was a desperate stop gap measure to try to stave off what we now know was an unavoidable fiscal calamity largely due to banks not doing their due diligence and giving out sub-prime loans that people should never have been eligible for.

I don’t think anyone with above a room temp IQ has ever earnestly suggested “just print more” as a feasible fiscal policy.

I feel compelled to tell you in this circumstance (if nothing more than for comedic levity), I truly cannot tell what your comment has to do with the price of tea in China. :)


It’s a common misconception that the FED prints money. It actually doesn’t.
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Mar 7 2025 04:31am
It’s a common misconception that the FED prints money. It actually doesn’t.


Yes and no, to my understanding they don’t print the money but they do have dominion over the amount that gets printed. I am not actually sure offhand what agency does the physical printing though.

It’s a good distinction to make, albeit somewhat splitting hairs. It's like saying “that person isn’t in control of the money to pay the contractors, he just allocates the capital expenditure appropriations”.
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Mar 7 2025 04:37am
Yes and no, to my understanding they don’t print the money but they do have dominion over the amount that gets printed. I am not actually sure offhand what agency does the physical printing though.

It’s a good distinction to make, albeit somewhat splitting hairs. It's like saying “that person isn’t in control of the money to pay the contractors, he just allocates the capital expenditure appropriations”.


Not really, no.

QE is just a reserve asset swap. Bank gives the FED a bond and the FED deposits reserves (money) on this bank’s account with the FED. But…

The bank cannot do whatever it wants with this money. Cannot just release it to the economy at wide. Reserves can be used to issue loans. But banks don’t want to issue risky loans, especially during weak economic periods. So they don’t and the reserves just sit there. Also, the current banking system evolved past the fractional reserve and it doesn’t really need reserves to issue loans to begin with.

If you don’t believe me, then take a look at Japan. They’ve been doing QE for 10 years longer than the US and they were fighting deflation for the last 3 decades (couldn’t get inflation up to their target).

This post was edited by kayko on Mar 7 2025 04:58am
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Mar 7 2025 10:43am
Nope, know exactly what you’re getting at with this but it’s wrong. My initial inclination is that this may be a bad faith comment, but incase you don’t understand why deflation is not necessary to reduce the price of eggs let me elaborate a bit.

Economists know deflation is awful, and significantly more harmful than inflation. It sends a signal loop to consumers to tighten their purse strings and not stimulate their economy.

If you wanted to lower prices across an entire macroeconomic sector then yes, that would require either inorganic pricing and subsidies, or organic deflation.

To decrease the cost of a singular good such as eggs there are several types of investment and production ramp ups you can undergo to lower their price via shifting their aggregate demand and supply curve to a lower price point equilibrium through the introduction of additional supply.

Hence, egg prices can be lowered without requiring deflation.

But we both know the real problem behind the egg crisis was never partisan anyways, it was H5N1, but now, that problem is going to be compounded massively by us effectively cutting off good faith trading with the large majority of the world.

I’ve seen the statistics on % of net exports for Canada and Mexico from the US versus the inverse and at face value it seems like this deal stands to massively disproportionately impact those two nations, until we realize that the goods being tariffed and no longer purchased can still be sent to their other viable trade partner, and while their overall costs will obviously increase to some degree, the net opportunity cost is mitigated quite a bit by being able to sell those same exports at a similar price, and having the only real economic impact be the implicit costs in setting up those new trade agreements, and the presumed small delta in price.

America as a whole may be well insulated by their wide breadth of countries looking to import to us and engage in trade, but after having recently completely cleared out all of our goodwill (I am using this term in the literal sense, as in the intangible asset that would be assigned a finite value in real life instances such as business acquisitions), if we can’t source our products from a viable alternative, we now take on the full brunt of those losses, rather than merely the slim margin between our previous and new net profit.

When you have a $40 whiskey bottle that you have to sell to a different trade partner for $35, it hurts in the short term, but it hurts much less than not being able to sell your $30 bottle for anything.

If there’s any typos or anything it’s probably because I typed this out on mobile. 🤷‍♂️


I don't disagree that the price of any single good can decrease.

No one cares about eggs. Eggs are just an example food product to highlight the inflation problem of the last 4 years. What really matters is the entire basket of goods.
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Mar 7 2025 07:45pm
Yes and no, to my understanding they don’t print the money but they do have dominion over the amount that gets printed. I am not actually sure offhand what agency does the physical printing though.

It’s a good distinction to make, albeit somewhat splitting hairs. It's like saying “that person isn’t in control of the money to pay the contractors, he just allocates the capital expenditure appropriations”.


The Mint for coins. The BEP for paper money. Both of which are within the US Department of Treasury. For all intents and purposes though it's fair enough to say the federal reserve "prints" or "issues" the money. You are right. And him bringing up QE doesn't change that fact.
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Mar 7 2025 07:52pm
I don't disagree that the price of any single good can decrease.

No one cares about eggs. Eggs are just an example food product to highlight the inflation problem of the last 4 years. What really matters is the entire basket of goods.


I actually do care about the price of eggs. I love egg sandwiches. But yes "eggs" is just a meme for food. Eggs are just one of the most extreme example of food prices going sky high. Also Republicans were complaining about egg prices under Biden so naturally it's gonna get flipped.

I generally try not to participate in the Dem vs Repub sports nonsense. But one thing that annoys me in particular is how quickly so many Trump supporters move their goalposts or abandon their narratives or desires because Trump said so. Say what you want about the Democrats. But there's nothing more shameless than Trump supporters. I've seen Trump supporters saying they'll "proudly pay more" for eggs and other such nonsense.. These people need to grow a spine.

We're all paying more here and Trump is putting on a show that for the most part, is going to raise our prices in the short term and whether or not it'll help us in the long run is a crap shoot.

These tariffs wouldn't bother me as much if Trump wasn't so transparently enriching his friends and the ultra wealthy further. It's just salt in the wound. We are totally fucked.
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