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Mar 2 2025 12:36am
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/03/01/pkk-turkey-kurdish-militants-ceasefire/17624b38-f66b-11ef-acb5-08900d482a27_story.html

The Kurds and Turks have reached a ceasefire in the first in forever. PKK declaring it is ceasing militant activities, Erdogan in his typical prose declares the iron first of the Turks will remain clenched should the hand they extend be left in the air or bitten, I shit you not. But yes, it looks like we might actually have some region stability in one of the biggest flashpoints that Obama aggravated so badly during the Syrian war, we might have had this kind of breakthrough 10 years ago if we hadn't been arming the Kurds to fight the ISIS who we armed to fight Assad who we probably armed at some point too for all I know
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Mar 2 2025 01:13am
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/03/01/pkk-turkey-kurdish-militants-ceasefire/17624b38-f66b-11ef-acb5-08900d482a27_story.html

The Kurds and Turks have reached a ceasefire in the first in forever. PKK declaring it is ceasing militant activities, Erdogan in his typical prose declares the iron first of the Turks will remain clenched should the hand they extend be left in the air or bitten, I shit you not. But yes, it looks like we might actually have some region stability in one of the biggest flashpoints that Obama aggravated so badly during the Syrian war, we might have had this kind of breakthrough 10 years ago if we hadn't been arming the Kurds to fight the ISIS who we armed to fight Assad who we probably armed at some point too for all I know


Like Einstein points out in his book..Those who sell arms don't strive for stability in peace.. :lol:
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Mar 2 2025 07:24pm
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/03/01/pkk-turkey-kurdish-militants-ceasefire/17624b38-f66b-11ef-acb5-08900d482a27_story.html

The Kurds and Turks have reached a ceasefire in the first in forever. PKK declaring it is ceasing militant activities, Erdogan in his typical prose declares the iron first of the Turks will remain clenched should the hand they extend be left in the air or bitten, I shit you not. But yes, it looks like we might actually have some region stability in one of the biggest flashpoints that Obama aggravated so badly during the Syrian war, we might have had this kind of breakthrough 10 years ago if we hadn't been arming the Kurds to fight the ISIS who we armed to fight Assad who we probably armed at some point too for all I know


This is a ripple effect of the fall of Assad with the help of Turkey-backed militias. Since then, the Kurdish de facto autonomous provinces in northern Syria along the Turkish border have become untenable. They were supposed to be the nucleus of a free, sovereign Kurdistan, a dream which is dead and buried now. Imho, this ceasefire is basically the PKK admitting defeat on the Kurdish cause. (For now...)

But yeah, another major foreign policy W for Erdogan. Things are not looking so good for him on the domestic/economic front, though. Inflation still stands at roughly 40%...

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Mar 2 2025 07:24pm
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Mar 3 2025 01:17am
This is a ripple effect of the fall of Assad with the help of Turkey-backed militias. Since then, the Kurdish de facto autonomous provinces in northern Syria along the Turkish border have become untenable. They were supposed to be the nucleus of a free, sovereign Kurdistan, a dream which is dead and buried now. Imho, this ceasefire is basically the PKK admitting defeat on the Kurdish cause. (For now...)

But yeah, another major foreign policy W for Erdogan. Things are not looking so good for him on the domestic/economic front, though. Inflation still stands at roughly 40%...


Turkey had crazy inflation for years. Why hasn't Turkey collapsed while Russia will surely collapse (only ~10% inflation max and has tons of resources like oil / gold they can sell anywhere in the world for cold hard cash).

Bout time for the EU to face the reality
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Mar 3 2025 01:33am
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/03/01/pkk-turkey-kurdish-militants-ceasefire/17624b38-f66b-11ef-acb5-08900d482a27_story.html

The Kurds and Turks have reached a ceasefire in the first in forever. PKK declaring it is ceasing militant activities, Erdogan in his typical prose declares the iron first of the Turks will remain clenched should the hand they extend be left in the air or bitten, I shit you not. But yes, it looks like we might actually have some region stability in one of the biggest flashpoints that Obama aggravated so badly during the Syrian war, we might have had this kind of breakthrough 10 years ago if we hadn't been arming the Kurds to fight the ISIS who we armed to fight Assad who we probably armed at some point too for all I know


Saddam did nothing wrong,
Had Americans known the Kurds as well as we know them now, I don't think there would be any excuses about Saddamn killing who's people? (His people)
Therefore he must go.
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Mar 3 2025 11:03am
Dont worry, the Advisory Compass Conspiracy Thinking initiative is on the case!

BREAKING: A car has driven into a crowd of people in the German city of Mannheim, causing multiple casualties
https://x.com/mailonline/status/1896555228264329396
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Mar 3 2025 06:47pm
Turkey had crazy inflation for years. Why hasn't Turkey collapsed while Russia will surely collapse (only ~10% inflation max and has tons of resources like oil / gold they can sell anywhere in the world for cold hard cash).


Turkey has persistently high inflation due to structural factors. This is different from inflation caused by wartime spending, which tends to be invisible until it one day pops out all at once, like a ketchup bottle.

Also, I never claimed that Russia will collapse, let alone "surely". What I have argued is that Russia's economy is showing signs of overheating and that it's questionable whether Russia could keep up the current pace for another couple of years.







Dont worry, the Advisory Compass Conspiracy Thinking initiative is on the case!

BREAKING: A car has driven into a crowd of people in the German city of Mannheim, causing multiple casualties
https://x.com/mailonline/status/1896555228264329396


Something is off with this case. The suspect has German citizenship (which doesn't mean jackshit these days...), but other than that, authorities have barely released any concrete info on him. No mugshot, no motivation, a lot is seemingly still up in the air right now. Yet they claim to be able to tell from the investigation so far that this was not a political or religious act. They say the suspect has been fined for online "hate speech" in 2018, but they also say there are no indications of a "right-wing populist mindset". That in and off itself is a major red flag if you ask me. The other types of legally relevant "hate speech" are almost always antisemitic or islamist in nature...

Currently, authorities are strongly going for the "psychologically disturbed" angle. We'll have to wait and see, but I'm very sceptical.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Mar 3 2025 06:47pm
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Mar 9 2025 01:05pm
https://www.ft.com/content/dad829ce-3988-430b-b009-88a727a4d28d

In another great example of the triumph of the ideals of western liberal democracy and rules based order of the world, Romania has banned the frontrunner won-the-most-votes-in-first-polls right wing candidate Calin Georgescu from running in the presidential election. He's seen as warmer to Russia than the left, and the Romanian courts twice annulled the presidential votes now as Georgescu won twice in a row, with perhaps a 40% plurality in polling with a wide lead over the ~20% support for USR/PSD candidates and other groups.
Rather than face Georgescu winning the presidential vote a third time in a row and have to throw out the results again, they simply banned him and say the pro-EU USR candidate gets to win by default and further integrate into the EU

Another brilliant example of western democracy in action and how the EU's embrace of self-determination, civil liberties, free speech and fair elections is paramount and reflected in how they will simply tell voters to fuck off and install their own dictators after coup d'etats if they have to



At what point would Russia be liberating eastern european nations if they actually did invade further than Ukraine?

This post was edited by Goomshill on Mar 9 2025 01:06pm
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Mar 9 2025 02:45pm
Turkey had crazy inflation for years. Why hasn't Turkey collapsed while Russia will surely collapse (only ~10% inflation max and has tons of resources like oil / gold they can sell anywhere in the world for cold hard cash).

Bout time for the EU to face the reality


Wages probably rise with inflation, unlike America where wages are basically deflationary.
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Mar 9 2025 03:10pm
Wages probably rise with inflation, unlike America where wages are basically deflationary.


Right, this is an extremely important distinction to make.

If you have very high inflation but wages rising proportionately, it makes it so that saving or investing money is useless unless your returns will beat inflation. But it has no effect on the cost of living.

Contrast with recent Western inflation: wages have been completely stagnant for a long time, raising the cost of living. The magnitude of the inflation is much lower though, making it still feasible to save or invest.

In Canada, the minimum wage has increased proportionately with inflation so minimum wage earners have had a steady COL which is a good thing, but everything above minimum wage that isn't the trades or oilfields has been stagnant, which has caused a massive brain drain to the USA where people can get paid their value.

I don't know about Turkey's situation, if wages have risen or if they haven't

This post was edited by El1te on Mar 9 2025 03:12pm
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