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Feb 27 2025 09:25pm
I think we will go sideways this year. I posted up a 5k bet that spy ends under 650 eoy. Primarily due to the uncertainty of everything. Nothing feels status quo.


Year 1 maybe year 2 of the presidency IMO will be rough, could see spy being flat or single digit returns.

No way we’re posting 3 years in a row of 20+% returns .
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Feb 28 2025 09:53am
This isn't a hate post on DOGE, but I look at their tracker, news, etc. A lot of this is just making more noise and usual for what happens every time a gov't changes hands. Its nothing new, its just yelling it out loud. Now some of it is, reviewing databases, etc. that's not common per gov't change over.

But a lot of it is. At-least here in Canada, when a gov't changes, they slash and close out programs from the last gov'ts initiatives and mandates. Theycut gov't departments back or completely, you take something like NRCAN renewable funding , when Polly wins I am sure he will cut that back, certain research departments, etc. Its always been the ebb and flow of gov't.

How much of this is really just common for gov't cycles vs actually new? Obviously the reviews of databases is, tracking how money flows is, etc, and for the most part you see little actual fraud review on gov't changes so that's also new but I would have expected all the DEI stuff, contract cancellations , certain govt departments, etc. to be gutted regardless of DOGE existing or not just because of the gov't change over, wouldn't everyone else? I don't attribute any of that to money saved by DOGE, I am fairly certain it would have happened anyways as just normal gov't changeover.

I think total misappropriation of assets and fraud are the biggest things that would be different if uncovered, and that's more the value proposition of DOGE. Or at-least what I would value them for.

This post was edited by SBD on Feb 28 2025 10:00am
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Feb 28 2025 10:05am
Heard that doge is retracting some of the millions it claimed to be saving, off their website?
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Feb 28 2025 10:06am
This isn't a hate post on DOGE, but I look at their tracker, news, etc. A lot of this is just making more noise and usual for what happens every time a gov't changes hands. Its nothing new, its just yelling it out loud. Now some of it is, reviewing databases, etc. that's not common per gov't change over.

But a lot of it is. At-least here in Canada, when a gov't changes, they slash and close out programs from the last gov'ts initiatives and mandates. Theycut gov't departments back or completely, you take something like NRCAN renewable funding , when Polly wins I am sure he will cut that back, certain research departments, etc. Its always been the ebb and flow of gov't.

How much of this is really just common for gov't cycles vs actually new? Obviously the reviews of databases is, tracking how money flows is, etc, and for the most part you see little actual fraud review on gov't changes so that's also new but I would have expected all the DEI stuff, contract cancellations , certain govt departments, etc. to be gutted regardless of DOGE existing or not just because of the gov't change over, wouldn't everyone else? I don't attribute any of that to money saved by DOGE, I am fairly certain it would have happened anyways as just normal gov't changeover.

I think total misappropriation of assets and fraud are the biggest things that would be different if uncovered, and that's more the value proposition of DOGE. Or at-least what I would value them for.


More than 50% of people didn't vote in Ontario snap election and yet people complain bout the results. India is literally conquering Canada without anyone fighting back. Indians are literally making fun of Canadians online claiming they will conquer & populate Canada yet nobody care. They make more kids than any real Canadians. Just look at India 1b+ ppl there. Canada is toast.

That's society in 2025.

All that to say, all the noise you hear online bout DOGE and other groups alike, the only thing people will do bout it is complain online then move on like everything that happened in the last decade or two. Current generations of men and women are weak. Migrants are hungry as fuck and will conquer all first world countries and turn them into third world countries because they don't have what it takes to elevate countries.

This post was edited by iLoveMyUsername on Feb 28 2025 10:07am
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Mar 1 2025 10:07am
This isn't a hate post on DOGE, but I look at their tracker, news, etc. A lot of this is just making more noise and usual for what happens every time a gov't changes hands. Its nothing new, its just yelling it out loud. Now some of it is, reviewing databases, etc. that's not common per gov't change over.

But a lot of it is. At-least here in Canada, when a gov't changes, they slash and close out programs from the last gov'ts initiatives and mandates. Theycut gov't departments back or completely, you take something like NRCAN renewable funding , when Polly wins I am sure he will cut that back, certain research departments, etc. Its always been the ebb and flow of gov't.

How much of this is really just common for gov't cycles vs actually new? Obviously the reviews of databases is, tracking how money flows is, etc, and for the most part you see little actual fraud review on gov't changes so that's also new but I would have expected all the DEI stuff, contract cancellations , certain govt departments, etc. to be gutted regardless of DOGE existing or not just because of the gov't change over, wouldn't everyone else? I don't attribute any of that to money saved by DOGE, I am fairly certain it would have happened anyways as just normal gov't changeover.

I think total misappropriation of assets and fraud are the biggest things that would be different if uncovered, and that's more the value proposition of DOGE. Or at-least what I would value them for.


Not much actually. Point to an administration during the last 25 years that has attempted anything of this scale. Point to when there were hundreds of thousands of fed job cuts? The thing is, it's too early to actually judge if DOGE was a success or failure. For one, they don't actually have the power to cut anything, and I've already posted about this. They can expose waste but congress through reconciliation will make the changes. Bigger spending cuts I.e. defense, maybe Medicare?, those proposals will take awhile to work out and be debated and so on, you're not going to see that materialize and be finalized in a few months. So really, we need ~1-2 years to see how much is actually cut and if they managed to put any serious dent into the deficit.

Bill Clinton was the last president to actually try anything of this magnitude and seriously cut the deficit, one of the reasons why he should be considered a great president even by republicans. He was the best president of the last 30 years and it's not particularly close, his spending cuts eventually led to actually posting a budget surplus. If only we can get back to old school democrats that valued fiscal responsibility.

Quote
Clinton submitted a budget and corresponding tax legislation (the final, signed version was known as the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993) that would cut the deficit by $500 billion over five years by reducing $255 billion of spending


This post was edited by ofthevoid on Mar 1 2025 10:20am
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Mar 7 2025 05:56pm
You're fired. Wait you are rehired. Email us a list of things you've done today wait forget it you're fired again. Come back your job was important. Fired. Hired. Come in to the office. Wait, the office has no computers go home.
We are the Department of Government Efficiency.
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Mar 7 2025 06:03pm
Department of wasted tax dollars
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Mar 22 2025 08:21am
Watched this ~2 hour interview with Howard Lutnick, the newly appointed secretary of commerce. Brilliant guy and goes into a lot of depth on DOGE/taxes/tariffs/balancing the budget.

It's incredible, Trump tapped some extremely smart people for key roles. Listening to people like this gives me confidence that we're trending in the right direction. Highly recommend watching it.


https://x.com/theallinpod/status/1902839463971037593
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Mar 22 2025 08:54am
so basically, the left wing hill to die on-du jour is

protecting the size and bloat of federal bureaucracy

okay
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Mar 22 2025 08:57am
so basically, the left wing hill to die on-du jour is

protecting the size and bloat of federal bureaucracy

okay


The left really is just a suicide cult at this point
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