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Feb 3 2025 09:46am
This is ridiculous, you are THIRTY TRILLION DOLLARS IN DEBT, you lose 2% of your economy and you are losing your status as a world currency and going into a great depression, ironically literally EXACTLY how you did the last time the republicans controlled all three powers.
Do you have any idea how much money 2% of the us economy is?


Yes but 7 trillion is owed to itself which is a wash eventually at the expense of people not receiving their Social security and other benefits at a more delayed rate.

Only about 7 and a half is owed to non-us entities.

So 22.5 apparently is held by US entities via bonds and other things combined with borrowing money from social security and stuff to cover expenses.
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Feb 3 2025 09:51am
As of literally 6 minutes ago:



https://x.com/biancoresearch/status/1886435921983045814

I still don't get this deterministic "it is what it is and we should just accept it and do nothing" mentality. The short term downside is minimal to the potential benefit. If playing hardball leads to concession, why not? Why is everyone so scared and is so conditioned to never rock the boat?


This is why I am highly neutral on tarris, it's just an economic tool. If the greater objective can be achieved and its > than the suffrage of your people than its can be successful. The issue arises when it just becomes a game of tit for tat and the objective is eventually lost in a battle of countries egos.

I also suspected we would not see some stock market sell off like 2018's 20%. It was an overreaction at the time and quickly recovered. Market had already seen it. Okay article on it below.

https://wolfstreet.com/2025/02/03/what-trumps-tariffs-did-last-time-2018-2019-had-no-impact-on-inflation-doubled-receipts-from-customs-duties-and-hit-stocks/

This post was edited by SBD on Feb 3 2025 09:51am
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Feb 3 2025 10:00am
wrong thread

This post was edited by Bazi on Feb 3 2025 10:00am
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Feb 3 2025 10:13am
Reading through here it looks like the only thing more well regarded than trump are his supporters
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Feb 3 2025 11:00am
This is why I am highly neutral on tarris, it's just an economic tool. If the greater objective can be achieved and its > than the suffrage of your people than its can be successful. The issue arises when it just becomes a game of tit for tat and the objective is eventually lost in a battle of countries egos.

I also suspected we would not see some stock market sell off like 2018's 20%. It was an overreaction at the time and quickly recovered. Market had already seen it. Okay article on it below.

https://wolfstreet.com/2025/02/03/what-trumps-tariffs-did-last-time-2018-2019-had-no-impact-on-inflation-doubled-receipts-from-customs-duties-and-hit-stocks/


It seems like Mexico has made an agreement and Trump has postponed the tariffs on Mexico for a month. This was my only defense for Trump. If Trump truly believes in enacting the tariffs I cannot support it. If he is using it as a weapon to threaten into trade renegotiation: Ok, but my issue is this cannot be a consistent and reliable method of diplomacy.

But then we have Trump supporters talking about tariffs and how they would happily spend more on eggs and groceries. At that point I'm like WHAT??? We want cheaper groceries. This is something he promised. How can you change the goal posts so unashamedly?

EDIT: I don't have a reliable source for this information so if someone can confirm let me know.

This post was edited by uskittles on Feb 3 2025 11:00am
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Feb 3 2025 12:13pm
It seems like Mexico has made an agreement and Trump has postponed the tariffs on Mexico for a month. This was my only defense for Trump. If Trump truly believes in enacting the tariffs I cannot support it. If he is using it as a weapon to threaten into trade renegotiation: Ok, but my issue is this cannot be a consistent and reliable method of diplomacy.

But then we have Trump supporters talking about tariffs and how they would happily spend more on eggs and groceries. At that point I'm like WHAT??? We want cheaper groceries. This is something he promised. How can you change the goal posts so unashamedly?

EDIT: I don't have a reliable source for this information so if someone can confirm let me know.


You're right, it's not reliable, so lets do what we've done prior which has reliably yielded literally nothing. Curious, why didn't Obama or Biden use some other more reliable way for us to get Mexico to seriously engage on cartels and illegal immigration?
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Feb 3 2025 12:20pm
You're right, it's not reliable, so lets do what we've done prior which has reliably yielded literally nothing. Curious, why didn't Obama or Biden use some other more reliable way for us to get Mexico to seriously engage on cartels and illegal immigration?


I didn't say literally nothing and I do not care to defend any of Obama or Biden's policies, especially their foreign policies. This is the problem with people who defend Republicans and Trump in general. They cannot help but default to pointing at the incompetent Democrats. How about instead of threatening Canada, Mexico, Greenland, Panama we make active and sensible efforts that are in our interest. Then if all else fails we can make these threats. Instead Trump is doing his "shock and awe" playbook with no end game in sight.

This post was edited by uskittles on Feb 3 2025 12:22pm
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Feb 3 2025 12:34pm
I didn't say literally nothing and I do not care to defend any of Obama or Biden's policies, especially their foreign policies. This is the problem with people who defend Republicans and Trump in general. They cannot help but default to pointing at the incompetent Democrats. How about instead of threatening Canada, Mexico, Greenland, Panama we make active and sensible efforts that are in our interest. Then if all else fails we can make these threats. Instead Trump is doing his "shock and awe" playbook with no end game in sight.


The immigration or fentanyl issue didn't drop out of the sky 2 weeks ago. They've been thorns that the US has complained about for many years at this point. If you ask Mexico nicely to do something and they slow walk it and do basically nothing, you have to use other methods. Idk if 10k troops makes a dent here but it's sure better than nothing. Half the issue is our partners don't take our asks seriously to lift a finger, that's got to change. When Columbia decided to send our immigrant planes back there was some slow walk solution to engage them with endless talks and high level visits and shit drags on for 3 years with nothing or you proverbially backhand them and the issue solves itself within hours.

The end game is they do what we want, that's it. Maybe we ease up a bit but the status quo of endless talks and stuff not moving along is coming to an end, and IMO everyone should be in favor of this. If Biden did this I'd also be supportive.
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Feb 3 2025 12:45pm
I can report right now that prices are down for gas and most groceries. Eggs are the exception due to that last bird flu. Everything else is down.

Which is hilarious. I live in Arizona. Tariffs aren't a threat at all. They're a blessing. Combine them with a bit of border security and my state can provide for a good portion of the food we'd rather not have our processors going to Mexico for. I stand to do nothing but gain.

Does it bother you that NOT having the tariffs mostly benefits the massive corporations who're bypassing American farmers, miners, loggers, etc. etc. to buy in bulk from other nations, process here, and sell to our Citizens at a massive markup, all while cutting out the entire bottom level of the American supply chain? Quite literally, rather than paying for American workers, farmers, and landowners to produce good raw products that can then be used to make many, MANY other products, you want no tariffs, so that cartels and communist nations using slave labor at gunpoint will destroy half our production supply chain.

Here I am, thinking, "I'm an American, and one of the things about BEING American is that our nation is self-sufficient. We don't NEED anything from anywhere else. Yet nearly every nation has tariffs on US imports. The US, meanwhile, has been NOT tariffing the rest of the world. It's time for that to stop. Well past time.

But you keep on keeping on supporting globalist billionaires. It's how we lost microchip manufacturing. May as well be how we lose basic farming while we're at it, right? :rolleyes:

Edit: Oh, and I'd LOVE to see a 100% tariff on Taiwan, and 200% tariff on all electronics from China. Any guesses on just how fast tech manufacturing would boom in the US again?


Tariff on Taiwan? They are our allies. I like my pc parts for cheap thank you very much. What part of tariffs will increase consumer prices you don’t get. :bonk:

Canadian citizens never come into us illegally, it’s Mexican border. This is a dumb move on Trumps part.

This post was edited by Tarisus on Feb 3 2025 12:47pm
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Feb 3 2025 01:22pm
Quote
Asked Monday afternoon what Canada could offer in talks to prevent tariffs, Trump told reporters gathered in the Oval Office: “I don’t know.”


"I DONT KNOW"
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