I found this and thought others would enjoy:

http://www.newgrounds.com/portal/view/607720

(would link youtube, but it isn't posted there yet)

I liked the comparisons at the end.

abuse of probability, on many levels.
also contains several strawmen.

This post was edited by Azrad on Dec 19 2012 11:22pm

your playing 5 card stud poker with 3 friends.
hand 1 = 2c,3h,7d,8s,10c
hand 2 = 2h,8h,jh,qs,ks
hand 3 = 4c,4h,5s,9h,10h
hand 4 = 5h,6h,7s,8h,as

what are the chances of these hands being dealt in this order? 1 in 8*10^67 (approximately)
its a miracle!

This post was edited by Azrad on Dec 19 2012 11:30pm

He's right though. I hated that part of Watchmen, too, because it's just... well... dumb.

Pick any number between 1 and 10^900000. Say I pick 32342341235342488234234223423489234. What were the odds of me picking that number? 1 in 10^900000, and yet it happened.

Right about what? That the odds of one instance occurring are just as likely as another instance? That is like saying 1=1.

I am dissatisfied with such naysayer mentalities.

what are the odds of me being alive today?

probly close to the odds of me not being alive today.

the odds are 1:1 because you didn't state you would choose the number I thought of.

The odd's of using being created by a random unguided mindless process is far greater...